Strong ongoing demand for AI training and inference workloads continues to anchor H100 rental rates in the $2.25–$3.00 per GPU-hour band on competitive neo-clouds and marketplaces as of mid-August 2026, even as Blackwell B200 capacity gradually ramps and absorbs some high-end inference. Specialized providers such as Thunder Compute, RunPod, and Vast.ai list on-demand H100 80GB instances between roughly $2.19 and $3.62 per hour, while hyperscalers command $6–12+ premiums; this spread reflects intense platform competition and spot/reserved contract flexibility that caps upside. Loosened H100 supply since 2025 lows has been offset by committed near-term capacity through September and sustained enterprise pull, creating a narrow trading range. Key swing factors through October include any additional Blackwell availability that could shift workloads, spot market elasticity, and seasonal demand spikes ahead of year-end training cycles.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$2.50-$2.75 31%
$2.75-$3.00 29%
$2.25-$2.50 26%
$3.00+ 11%
<$2.00
5%
$2.00-$2.25
2%
$2.25-$2.50
26%
$2.50-$2.75
31%
$2.75-$3.00
29%
$3.00+
11%
$2.50-$2.75 31%
$2.75-$3.00 29%
$2.25-$2.50 26%
$3.00+ 11%
<$2.00
5%
$2.00-$2.25
2%
$2.25-$2.50
26%
$2.50-$2.75
31%
$2.75-$3.00
29%
$3.00+
11%
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H100 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 11, 2026, 7:35 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://dashboard.ornnai.com/computeResolver
0x69c47De9D...If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H100 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://dashboard.ornnai.com/computeResolver
0x69c47De9D...Strong ongoing demand for AI training and inference workloads continues to anchor H100 rental rates in the $2.25–$3.00 per GPU-hour band on competitive neo-clouds and marketplaces as of mid-August 2026, even as Blackwell B200 capacity gradually ramps and absorbs some high-end inference. Specialized providers such as Thunder Compute, RunPod, and Vast.ai list on-demand H100 80GB instances between roughly $2.19 and $3.62 per hour, while hyperscalers command $6–12+ premiums; this spread reflects intense platform competition and spot/reserved contract flexibility that caps upside. Loosened H100 supply since 2025 lows has been offset by committed near-term capacity through September and sustained enterprise pull, creating a narrow trading range. Key swing factors through October include any additional Blackwell availability that could shift workloads, spot market elasticity, and seasonal demand spikes ahead of year-end training cycles.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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