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icon for Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a drama series

Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a drama series

icon for Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a drama series

Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a drama series

Patrick Ball – “The Pitt” 40%

Tom Pelphrey – “Task” 33%

Shawn Hatosy – “The Pitt” 11.0%

Billy Crudup – “The Morning Show” 7.1%

Polymarket

$23,690 Vol.

Patrick Ball – “The Pitt” 40%

Tom Pelphrey – “Task” 33%

Shawn Hatosy – “The Pitt” 11.0%

Billy Crudup – “The Morning Show” 7.1%

Polymarket

$23,690 Vol.

Patrick Ball – “The Pitt”

$10,070 Vol.

40%

Tom Pelphrey – “Task”

$7,874 Vol.

33%

Shawn Hatosy – “The Pitt”

$3,897 Vol.

11%

Billy Crudup – “The Morning Show”

$414 Vol.

13%

Jack Lowden – “Slow Horses”

$706 Vol.

4%

Carlos-Manuel Vesga – “Pluribus”

$458 Vol.

2%

Gerran Howell – “The Pitt”

$271 Vol.

1%

The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding supporting actor in a drama series”. If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The closely matched market-implied odds between Patrick Ball of The Pitt (39.0%) and Tom Pelphrey of Task (33.0%) reflect The Pitt’s record 25 Emmy nominations and strong critical momentum for its ensemble medical drama, balanced against Pelphrey’s widely praised turn in the HBO crime series. Multiple Pitt nominees in the category—Ball, Shawn Hatosy, and Gerran Howell—create a vote-split dynamic that tempers any single frontrunner’s edge, while Billy Crudup’s established Morning Show presence and Jack Lowden’s Slow Horses recognition add further fragmentation. With nominations locked in July and the ceremony still weeks away, trader consensus hinges on guild buzz, episode submissions, and historical voting patterns favoring breakout performances in buzzy new dramas over established veterans.

The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California

This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding supporting actor in a drama series”.

If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$23,690
End Date
Sep 14, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 9, 2026, 9:05 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding supporting actor in a drama series”. If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding supporting actor in a drama series”. If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The closely matched market-implied odds between Patrick Ball of The Pitt (39.0%) and Tom Pelphrey of Task (33.0%) reflect The Pitt’s record 25 Emmy nominations and strong critical momentum for its ensemble medical drama, balanced against Pelphrey’s widely praised turn in the HBO crime series. Multiple Pitt nominees in the category—Ball, Shawn Hatosy, and Gerran Howell—create a vote-split dynamic that tempers any single frontrunner’s edge, while Billy Crudup’s established Morning Show presence and Jack Lowden’s Slow Horses recognition add further fragmentation. With nominations locked in July and the ceremony still weeks away, trader consensus hinges on guild buzz, episode submissions, and historical voting patterns favoring breakout performances in buzzy new dramas over established veterans.

The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California

This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding supporting actor in a drama series”.

If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$23,690
End Date
Sep 14, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 9, 2026, 9:05 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding supporting actor in a drama series”. If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a drama series" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Patrick Ball – “The Pitt”" at 40%, followed by "Tom Pelphrey – “Task”" at 33%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 40¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 40% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a drama series" has generated $23.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 9, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a drama series," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a drama series" is "Patrick Ball – “The Pitt”" at 40%, meaning the market assigns a 40% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Tom Pelphrey – “Task”" at 33%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a drama series" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.