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icon for Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actor in a comedy series

Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actor in a comedy series

icon for Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actor in a comedy series

Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actor in a comedy series

Michael J. Fox – “Shrinking” 51.6%

Connor Storrie – “Saturday Night Live” 8.3%

Rob Reiner – “The Bear” 8.0%

Hamish Linklater – “Widow’s Bay” 7.9%

Polymarket

$34,708 Vol.

Michael J. Fox – “Shrinking” 51.6%

Connor Storrie – “Saturday Night Live” 8.3%

Rob Reiner – “The Bear” 8.0%

Hamish Linklater – “Widow’s Bay” 7.9%

Polymarket

$34,708 Vol.

Michael J. Fox – “Shrinking”

$8,648 Vol.

52%

Connor Storrie – “Saturday Night Live”

$2,432 Vol.

12%

Rob Reiner – “The Bear”

$9,771 Vol.

8%

Hamish Linklater – “Widow’s Bay”

$3,663 Vol.

16%

Christopher McDonald – “Hacks”

$8,181 Vol.

5%

Brett Goldstein – “Shrinking”

$2,014 Vol.

4%

The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding guest actor in a comedy series”. If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Michael J. Fox leads trader sentiment in the guest actor comedy category thanks to his widely publicized return to acting after a five-year retirement, generating substantial industry goodwill and media coverage for his multi-episode arc on Apple TV+’s Shrinking. Nominations announced in early July placed him alongside fellow Shrinking performer Brett Goldstein, breakout Apple TV+ series Widow’s Bay’s Hamish Linklater, and supporting turns from The Bear, Hacks, and Saturday Night Live, but Fox’s personal story and established fanbase have positioned him as the clear frontrunner. Recent precursor discussions and episode submissions have reinforced this momentum ahead of the ceremony, while the field remains competitive enough that strong guild or critics’ recognition could still influence late shifts in implied probabilities.

The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California

This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding guest actor in a comedy series”.

If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$34,708
End Date
Sep 14, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 9, 2026, 8:33 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding guest actor in a comedy series”. If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding guest actor in a comedy series”. If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Michael J. Fox leads trader sentiment in the guest actor comedy category thanks to his widely publicized return to acting after a five-year retirement, generating substantial industry goodwill and media coverage for his multi-episode arc on Apple TV+’s Shrinking. Nominations announced in early July placed him alongside fellow Shrinking performer Brett Goldstein, breakout Apple TV+ series Widow’s Bay’s Hamish Linklater, and supporting turns from The Bear, Hacks, and Saturday Night Live, but Fox’s personal story and established fanbase have positioned him as the clear frontrunner. Recent precursor discussions and episode submissions have reinforced this momentum ahead of the ceremony, while the field remains competitive enough that strong guild or critics’ recognition could still influence late shifts in implied probabilities.

The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California

This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding guest actor in a comedy series”.

If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$34,708
End Date
Sep 14, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 9, 2026, 8:33 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding guest actor in a comedy series”. If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actor in a comedy series" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Michael J. Fox – “Shrinking”" at 52%, followed by "Hamish Linklater – “Widow’s Bay”" at 16%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 52¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 52% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actor in a comedy series" has generated $34.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 9, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actor in a comedy series," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actor in a comedy series" is "Michael J. Fox – “Shrinking”" at 52%, meaning the market assigns a 52% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Hamish Linklater – “Widow’s Bay”" at 16%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actor in a comedy series" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.