Traders see 2-3 wins as the most likely outcome for “Pluribus” given its 18 Emmy nominations as a freshman Apple TV+ drama from Vince Gilligan, including nods for Outstanding Drama Series and lead actress Rhea Seehorn. Strong guild and critics’ recognition has built momentum, yet competition from “The Pitt” (25 nominations) and other established series caps expectations for major victories. Acting and craft categories offer the clearest paths, while series and writing races remain contested. With the September 14 ceremony approaching, recent precursor results and late-season buzz will determine whether the show exceeds the 0-1 range or falls short of the market’s consensus.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHow many Emmys will “Pluribus” win?
2-3 62%
0-1 38%
4-5 2.6%
6-7 <1%
$23,185 Vol.
$23,185 Vol.
0-1
38%
2-3
62%
4-5
3%
6-7
<1%
8-9
<1%
10+
<1%
2-3 62%
0-1 38%
4-5 2.6%
6-7 <1%
$23,185 Vol.
$23,185 Vol.
0-1
38%
2-3
62%
4-5
3%
6-7
<1%
8-9
<1%
10+
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of Emmys won by "Pluribus," or by people for their roles in "Pluribus," awarded during the live Primetime Emmy Awards ceremony, expected to be held on September 14, 2026. Awards presented at the Creative Arts Emmy Awards (September 5–6, 2026) will not count toward this market's resolution.
Each award will count once even if it has multiple recipients.
If the Primetime Emmys are partially awarded by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the number of awards won by the specified show up until that point. If, for any reason, no winners are declared by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 31, 2026, 7:28 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of Emmys won by "Pluribus," or by people for their roles in "Pluribus," awarded during the live Primetime Emmy Awards ceremony, expected to be held on September 14, 2026. Awards presented at the Creative Arts Emmy Awards (September 5–6, 2026) will not count toward this market's resolution.
Each award will count once even if it has multiple recipients.
If the Primetime Emmys are partially awarded by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the number of awards won by the specified show up until that point. If, for any reason, no winners are declared by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see 2-3 wins as the most likely outcome for “Pluribus” given its 18 Emmy nominations as a freshman Apple TV+ drama from Vince Gilligan, including nods for Outstanding Drama Series and lead actress Rhea Seehorn. Strong guild and critics’ recognition has built momentum, yet competition from “The Pitt” (25 nominations) and other established series caps expectations for major victories. Acting and craft categories offer the clearest paths, while series and writing races remain contested. With the September 14 ceremony approaching, recent precursor results and late-season buzz will determine whether the show exceeds the 0-1 range or falls short of the market’s consensus.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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