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icon for Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a drama series

Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a drama series

icon for Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a drama series

Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a drama series

Katherine LaNasa – “The Pitt” 72%

Karolina Wydra – “Pluribus” 9.3%

Julianne Nicholson – “Paradise” 7.0%

Allison Janney – “The Diplomat” 6.8%

Polymarket

$43,019 Vol.

Katherine LaNasa – “The Pitt” 72%

Karolina Wydra – “Pluribus” 9.3%

Julianne Nicholson – “Paradise” 7.0%

Allison Janney – “The Diplomat” 6.8%

Polymarket

$43,019 Vol.

Katherine LaNasa – “The Pitt”

$21,297 Vol.

72%

Karolina Wydra – “Pluribus”

$3,380 Vol.

9%

Julianne Nicholson – “Paradise”

$1,277 Vol.

7%

Allison Janney – “The Diplomat”

$10,582 Vol.

7%

Sepideh Moafi – “The Pitt”

$2,147 Vol.

5%

Taylor Dearden – “The Pitt”

$2,642 Vol.

3%

Fiona Dourif – “The Pitt”

$1,694 Vol.

2%

The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding supporting actress in a drama series”. If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Katherine LaNasa leads the 2026 Emmys Supporting Actress in a Drama Series market at 71.5% implied probability thanks to her 2025 win for “The Pitt” and the HBO Max medical drama’s dominant Season 2 showing, which earned 25 nominations overall. Multiple “The Pitt” castmates—Sepideh Moafi, Taylor Dearden, and Fiona Dourif—also received nods, underscoring the ensemble’s strength while splitting some voter attention. New contenders from “Pluribus,” “Paradise,” and “The Diplomat” trail with single-digit odds, reflecting limited precursor momentum compared with LaNasa’s established campaign and the show’s critical and guild favor. With nominations recently locked and the ceremony approaching, late reviews or final voting shifts remain the main variables that could narrow the gap.

The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California

This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding supporting actress in a drama series”.

If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$43,019
End Date
Sep 14, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 9, 2026, 9:04 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding supporting actress in a drama series”. If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding supporting actress in a drama series”. If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Katherine LaNasa leads the 2026 Emmys Supporting Actress in a Drama Series market at 71.5% implied probability thanks to her 2025 win for “The Pitt” and the HBO Max medical drama’s dominant Season 2 showing, which earned 25 nominations overall. Multiple “The Pitt” castmates—Sepideh Moafi, Taylor Dearden, and Fiona Dourif—also received nods, underscoring the ensemble’s strength while splitting some voter attention. New contenders from “Pluribus,” “Paradise,” and “The Diplomat” trail with single-digit odds, reflecting limited precursor momentum compared with LaNasa’s established campaign and the show’s critical and guild favor. With nominations recently locked and the ceremony approaching, late reviews or final voting shifts remain the main variables that could narrow the gap.

The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California

This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding supporting actress in a drama series”.

If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$43,019
End Date
Sep 14, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 9, 2026, 9:04 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding supporting actress in a drama series”. If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a drama series" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Katherine LaNasa – “The Pitt”" at 72%, followed by "Karolina Wydra – “Pluribus”" at 9%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 72¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 72% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a drama series" has generated $43K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 9, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a drama series," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a drama series" is "Katherine LaNasa – “The Pitt”" at 72%, meaning the market assigns a 72% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Karolina Wydra – “Pluribus”" at 9%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a drama series" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.