Harrison Ford leads the closely matched field at 41.5% implied probability due to his acclaimed turn as the acerbic therapist Paul Rhoades in Shrinking’s third season, bolstered by the veteran actor’s overdue status and consistent critical praise for blending humor with emotional depth. Stephen Root sits just behind at 36% on the strength of his scene-stealing work as Wyck Crawford in the buzzy new Apple TV+ horror-comedy Widow’s Bay, which earned a leading 19 Emmy nominations including for Outstanding Comedy Series. The race remains tight because both performances benefit from strong industry narratives—Ford’s legacy appeal versus Root’s fresh breakout—while Paul W. Downs on Hacks and the other nominees trail amid more established competition and fewer standout momentum signals ahead of the ceremony.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedEmmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a comedy series
Harrison Ford – “Shrinking” 42%
Stephen Root – “Widow’s Bay” 36%
Paul W. Downs – “Hacks” 7.4%
Nick Offerman – “Margo’s Got Money Troubles” 5.1%
$25,533 Vol.
$25,533 Vol.
Harrison Ford – “Shrinking”
42%
Stephen Root – “Widow’s Bay”
36%
Paul W. Downs – “Hacks”
7%
Nick Offerman – “Margo’s Got Money Troubles”
5%
Michael Urie – “Shrinking”
3%
Colman Domingo – “The Four Seasons”
2%
Tyler James Williams – “Abbott Elementary”
1%
Harrison Ford – “Shrinking” 42%
Stephen Root – “Widow’s Bay” 36%
Paul W. Downs – “Hacks” 7.4%
Nick Offerman – “Margo’s Got Money Troubles” 5.1%
$25,533 Vol.
$25,533 Vol.
Harrison Ford – “Shrinking”
42%
Stephen Root – “Widow’s Bay”
36%
Paul W. Downs – “Hacks”
7%
Nick Offerman – “Margo’s Got Money Troubles”
5%
Michael Urie – “Shrinking”
3%
Colman Domingo – “The Four Seasons”
2%
Tyler James Williams – “Abbott Elementary”
1%
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding supporting actor in a comedy series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 9, 2026, 9:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding supporting actor in a comedy series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Harrison Ford leads the closely matched field at 41.5% implied probability due to his acclaimed turn as the acerbic therapist Paul Rhoades in Shrinking’s third season, bolstered by the veteran actor’s overdue status and consistent critical praise for blending humor with emotional depth. Stephen Root sits just behind at 36% on the strength of his scene-stealing work as Wyck Crawford in the buzzy new Apple TV+ horror-comedy Widow’s Bay, which earned a leading 19 Emmy nominations including for Outstanding Comedy Series. The race remains tight because both performances benefit from strong industry narratives—Ford’s legacy appeal versus Root’s fresh breakout—while Paul W. Downs on Hacks and the other nominees trail amid more established competition and fewer standout momentum signals ahead of the ceremony.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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