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icon for Charlesbourg Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
Politics·International Election Props

Charlesbourg Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

icon for Charlesbourg Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
Politics·International Election Props

Charlesbourg Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

Éloïse Coulombe 40%

Gabriel Coulombe 30%

Marie-Josée Morency 26%

Georges Goma 7%

Polymarket
NEW

Éloïse Coulombe 40%

Gabriel Coulombe 30%

Marie-Josée Morency 26%

Georges Goma 7%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Éloïse Coulombe

Éloïse Coulombe

$202 Vol.

40%

icon for Gabriel Coulombe

Gabriel Coulombe

$207 Vol.

30%

icon for Marie-Josée Morency

Marie-Josée Morency

$464 Vol.

26%

icon for Georges Goma

Georges Goma

$262 Vol.

7%

icon for Seynabou Top

Seynabou Top

$295 Vol.

6%

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Charlesbourg Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).**In the Charlesbourg riding, trader prices reflect a tight three-way contest among Éloïse Coulombe (Conservative Party of Quebec) at 40.5%, Gabriel Coulombe (Parti Québécois) at 29.5%, and Marie-Josée Morency (Coalition Avenir Québec) at 26.0%, with other candidates trailing.** This positioning stems from the September 1, 2026, projections showing the riding as a toss-up in the Capitale-Nationale region, where provincial polling places the PQ, PCQ, and CAQ in close contention amid a broader PQ lead that has narrowed. The election call on August 27 for October 5, combined with the incumbent CAQ MNA’s retirement and the new electoral map, has left support fluid, with 42% of decided voters open to switching. Local dynamics hinge on regional strength for the Conservatives in Quebec City, PQ emphasis on sovereignty and fiscal issues, and CAQ efforts to retain its base, while high undecided shares and potential strategic voting could shift probabilities before nomination deadlines close on September 17.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Charlesbourg Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volume
$1,431
End Date
Oct 5, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 31, 2026, 3:46 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Charlesbourg Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Charlesbourg Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).**In the Charlesbourg riding, trader prices reflect a tight three-way contest among Éloïse Coulombe (Conservative Party of Quebec) at 40.5%, Gabriel Coulombe (Parti Québécois) at 29.5%, and Marie-Josée Morency (Coalition Avenir Québec) at 26.0%, with other candidates trailing.** This positioning stems from the September 1, 2026, projections showing the riding as a toss-up in the Capitale-Nationale region, where provincial polling places the PQ, PCQ, and CAQ in close contention amid a broader PQ lead that has narrowed. The election call on August 27 for October 5, combined with the incumbent CAQ MNA’s retirement and the new electoral map, has left support fluid, with 42% of decided voters open to switching. Local dynamics hinge on regional strength for the Conservatives in Quebec City, PQ emphasis on sovereignty and fiscal issues, and CAQ efforts to retain its base, while high undecided shares and potential strategic voting could shift probabilities before nomination deadlines close on September 17.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Charlesbourg Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volume
$1,431
End Date
Oct 5, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 31, 2026, 3:46 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Charlesbourg Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Charlesbourg Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Éloïse Coulombe" at 40%, followed by "Gabriel Coulombe" at 30%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 40¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 40% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Charlesbourg Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 31, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Charlesbourg Quebec National Assembly Election Winner," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Charlesbourg Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" is "Éloïse Coulombe" at 40%, meaning the market assigns a 40% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Gabriel Coulombe" at 30%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Charlesbourg Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.