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icon for Lévis Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
World·Canada

Lévis Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

icon for Lévis Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
World·Canada

Lévis Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

Bernard Drainville 51%

Karine Laflamme 39%

Yanick Godbout 11%

Brittany Blais 3.6%

Polymarket
NEW

Bernard Drainville 51%

Karine Laflamme 39%

Yanick Godbout 11%

Brittany Blais 3.6%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Bernard Drainville

Bernard Drainville

$382 Vol.

51%

icon for Karine Laflamme

Karine Laflamme

$487 Vol.

39%

icon for Yanick Godbout

Yanick Godbout

$156 Vol.

11%

icon for Brittany Blais

Brittany Blais

$259 Vol.

4%

icon for Simon Beauchamp-Léveillé

Simon Beauchamp-Léveillé

$469 Vol.

4%

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Lévis Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).Bernard Drainville, the incumbent CAQ MNA for Lévis and former leadership candidate, holds a narrow edge in trader consensus amid a tight multi-candidate race for the October 5, 2026, Quebec National Assembly election. Provincial polling shows the CAQ rebounding and closing ground on the Parti Québécois, boosting Drainville's position in this riding where he won comfortably in 2022. Karine Laflamme of the Conservatives poses the strongest challenge by focusing on mobility and the stalled third link project, while PQ candidate Yanick Godbout and others split the remaining vote. The contest remains competitive due to shifting voter preferences on infrastructure, economic growth, and party brands, with separation likely hinging on late-campaign turnout among suburban and working-class voters or any further provincial momentum shifts before election day.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Lévis Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volume
$1,752
End Date
Oct 5, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 31, 2026, 3:49 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Lévis Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Lévis Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).Bernard Drainville, the incumbent CAQ MNA for Lévis and former leadership candidate, holds a narrow edge in trader consensus amid a tight multi-candidate race for the October 5, 2026, Quebec National Assembly election. Provincial polling shows the CAQ rebounding and closing ground on the Parti Québécois, boosting Drainville's position in this riding where he won comfortably in 2022. Karine Laflamme of the Conservatives poses the strongest challenge by focusing on mobility and the stalled third link project, while PQ candidate Yanick Godbout and others split the remaining vote. The contest remains competitive due to shifting voter preferences on infrastructure, economic growth, and party brands, with separation likely hinging on late-campaign turnout among suburban and working-class voters or any further provincial momentum shifts before election day.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Lévis Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volume
$1,752
End Date
Oct 5, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 31, 2026, 3:49 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Lévis Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Lévis Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Bernard Drainville" at 51%, followed by "Karine Laflamme" at 39%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 51¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 51% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Lévis Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 31, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Lévis Quebec National Assembly Election Winner," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Lévis Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" is "Bernard Drainville" at 51%, meaning the market assigns a 51% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Karine Laflamme" at 39%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Lévis Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.