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icon for Celebrations Ultra Premium Collection Price Over/Under $1,253.71 on September 30?

Celebrations Ultra Premium Collection Price Over/Under $1,253.71 on September 30?

icon for Celebrations Ultra Premium Collection Price Over/Under $1,253.71 on September 30?

Celebrations Ultra Premium Collection Price Over/Under $1,253.71 on September 30?

Oct 1

Oct 1

Over

39% chance
Polymarket
NEW

Over

39% chance
Polymarket
NEW
This market will resolve to “Over” if the Ungraded Price of Celebrations Ultra Premium Collection (Celebrations) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is greater than $1,253.71. This market will resolve to “Under” if the Ungraded Price of Celebrations Ultra Premium Collection (Celebrations) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is less than $1,253.71. This market will resolve 50-50 if the Ungraded Price of Celebrations Ultra Premium Collection (Celebrations) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is exactly equal to $1,253.71. This market will resolve according to the first publication of the final Ungraded Price value for the specified date. Any later revisions or retractions will not be considered. If no final Ungraded Price value for the specified date has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the final Ungraded Price value for the most recent date preceding the specified date for which such a value is available as of that time. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or it ceases to publish and make available the Ungraded Price of the specified item, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be the “Ungraded Price” for the specified item on Collectr (https://app.getcollectr.com/).**Current trader consensus on Polymarket favors the "Under" outcome at 61.5% implied probability for the Celebrations Ultra Premium Collection (the 2021 25th-anniversary sealed product) closing below $1,253.71 on September 30, 2026.** Recent market data shows the item trading in the $1,176–$1,238 range across TCGPlayer and eBay, with documented 3–6% declines over the past 30 days and roughly $60 in erosion amid subdued daily sales volume. This softening reflects cooling collector demand for the older sealed inventory as attention pivots to the highly anticipated 30th-anniversary product wave launching September 16, 2026, which includes new Ultra Premium Collections and other premium sealed goods expected to draw liquidity away from legacy Celebrations stock. No significant positive catalysts—such as major restocks, viral singles performance, or renewed hype—are on the immediate horizon before the September 30 resolution, while broader Pokémon TCG secondary-market trends show similar softness in anniversary-adjacent sealed product. The market-implied odds capture this near-term trajectory, with traders pricing in continued downward pressure through the end of the month.

This market will resolve to “Over” if the Ungraded Price of Celebrations Ultra Premium Collection (Celebrations) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is greater than $1,253.71.

This market will resolve to “Under” if the Ungraded Price of Celebrations Ultra Premium Collection (Celebrations) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is less than $1,253.71.

This market will resolve 50-50 if the Ungraded Price of Celebrations Ultra Premium Collection (Celebrations) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is exactly equal to $1,253.71.

This market will resolve according to the first publication of the final Ungraded Price value for the specified date. Any later revisions or retractions will not be considered.

If no final Ungraded Price value for the specified date has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the final Ungraded Price value for the most recent date preceding the specified date for which such a value is available as of that time.

If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or it ceases to publish and make available the Ungraded Price of the specified item, this market will resolve 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be the “Ungraded Price” for the specified item on Collectr (https://app.getcollectr.com/).
Volume
$688
End Date
Oct 1, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 2:52 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://app.getcollectr.com/

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Over” if the Ungraded Price of Celebrations Ultra Premium Collection (Celebrations) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is greater than $1,253.71. This market will resolve to “Under” if the Ungraded Price of Celebrations Ultra Premium Collection (Celebrations) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is less than $1,253.71. This market will resolve 50-50 if the Ungraded Price of Celebrations Ultra Premium Collection (Celebrations) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is exactly equal to $1,253.71. This market will resolve according to the first publication of the final Ungraded Price value for the specified date. Any later revisions or retractions will not be considered. If no final Ungraded Price value for the specified date has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the final Ungraded Price value for the most recent date preceding the specified date for which such a value is available as of that time. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or it ceases to publish and make available the Ungraded Price of the specified item, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be the “Ungraded Price” for the specified item on Collectr (https://app.getcollectr.com/).
This market will resolve to “Over” if the Ungraded Price of Celebrations Ultra Premium Collection (Celebrations) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is greater than $1,253.71. This market will resolve to “Under” if the Ungraded Price of Celebrations Ultra Premium Collection (Celebrations) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is less than $1,253.71. This market will resolve 50-50 if the Ungraded Price of Celebrations Ultra Premium Collection (Celebrations) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is exactly equal to $1,253.71. This market will resolve according to the first publication of the final Ungraded Price value for the specified date. Any later revisions or retractions will not be considered. If no final Ungraded Price value for the specified date has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the final Ungraded Price value for the most recent date preceding the specified date for which such a value is available as of that time. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or it ceases to publish and make available the Ungraded Price of the specified item, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be the “Ungraded Price” for the specified item on Collectr (https://app.getcollectr.com/).**Current trader consensus on Polymarket favors the "Under" outcome at 61.5% implied probability for the Celebrations Ultra Premium Collection (the 2021 25th-anniversary sealed product) closing below $1,253.71 on September 30, 2026.** Recent market data shows the item trading in the $1,176–$1,238 range across TCGPlayer and eBay, with documented 3–6% declines over the past 30 days and roughly $60 in erosion amid subdued daily sales volume. This softening reflects cooling collector demand for the older sealed inventory as attention pivots to the highly anticipated 30th-anniversary product wave launching September 16, 2026, which includes new Ultra Premium Collections and other premium sealed goods expected to draw liquidity away from legacy Celebrations stock. No significant positive catalysts—such as major restocks, viral singles performance, or renewed hype—are on the immediate horizon before the September 30 resolution, while broader Pokémon TCG secondary-market trends show similar softness in anniversary-adjacent sealed product. The market-implied odds capture this near-term trajectory, with traders pricing in continued downward pressure through the end of the month.

This market will resolve to “Over” if the Ungraded Price of Celebrations Ultra Premium Collection (Celebrations) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is greater than $1,253.71.

This market will resolve to “Under” if the Ungraded Price of Celebrations Ultra Premium Collection (Celebrations) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is less than $1,253.71.

This market will resolve 50-50 if the Ungraded Price of Celebrations Ultra Premium Collection (Celebrations) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is exactly equal to $1,253.71.

This market will resolve according to the first publication of the final Ungraded Price value for the specified date. Any later revisions or retractions will not be considered.

If no final Ungraded Price value for the specified date has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the final Ungraded Price value for the most recent date preceding the specified date for which such a value is available as of that time.

If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or it ceases to publish and make available the Ungraded Price of the specified item, this market will resolve 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be the “Ungraded Price” for the specified item on Collectr (https://app.getcollectr.com/).
Volume
$688
End Date
Oct 1, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 2:52 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://app.getcollectr.com/

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Over” if the Ungraded Price of Celebrations Ultra Premium Collection (Celebrations) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is greater than $1,253.71. This market will resolve to “Under” if the Ungraded Price of Celebrations Ultra Premium Collection (Celebrations) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is less than $1,253.71. This market will resolve 50-50 if the Ungraded Price of Celebrations Ultra Premium Collection (Celebrations) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is exactly equal to $1,253.71. This market will resolve according to the first publication of the final Ungraded Price value for the specified date. Any later revisions or retractions will not be considered. If no final Ungraded Price value for the specified date has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the final Ungraded Price value for the most recent date preceding the specified date for which such a value is available as of that time. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or it ceases to publish and make available the Ungraded Price of the specified item, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be the “Ungraded Price” for the specified item on Collectr (https://app.getcollectr.com/).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Celebrations Ultra Premium Collection Price Over/Under $1,253.71 on September 30?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Celebrations Ultra Premium Collection Price Over/Under $1,253.71 on September 30?" at 39%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 39¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 39% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Celebrations Ultra Premium Collection Price Over/Under $1,253.71 on September 30?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 24, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Celebrations Ultra Premium Collection Price Over/Under $1,253.71 on September 30?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Celebrations Ultra Premium Collection Price Over/Under $1,253.71 on September 30?" is "Celebrations Ultra Premium Collection Price Over/Under $1,253.71 on September 30?" at 39%, meaning the market assigns a 39% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Celebrations Ultra Premium Collection Price Over/Under $1,253.71 on September 30?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.