Incumbent Marianne Meed Ward leads trader pricing in the Burlington, Ontario mayoral race at 68.5 percent, ahead of Rory Nisan at 31.5 percent and far lower odds for Lisa Kearns and other challengers. Her advantage stems from strong name recognition after two terms, a decisive 2022 re-election, and emphasis on experience amid affordability, transit, and public safety concerns. A mid-August poll showed her narrowly ahead among decided voters in a fragmented field that includes sitting councillors Nisan and Kearns, plus Keith Demoe and Yugalkeesor Ramdhonee. Nominations closed August 21 for the October 26 vote, with online and advance polling options available. Traders appear to price the split opposition and incumbency edge as decisive factors shaping implied probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMarianne Meed Ward 70%
Rory Nisan 30%
Lisa Kearns 4.7%
Keith Demoe <1%

Marianne Meed Ward
70%

Rory Nisan
30%

Lisa Kearns
5%

Keith Demoe
1%

Yugalkeesor Ramdhonee
1%
Marianne Meed Ward 70%
Rory Nisan 30%
Lisa Kearns 4.7%
Keith Demoe <1%

Marianne Meed Ward
70%

Rory Nisan
30%

Lisa Kearns
5%

Keith Demoe
1%

Yugalkeesor Ramdhonee
1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Burlington, Ontario as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Burlington, Ontario.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 2:39 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Burlington, Ontario as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Burlington, Ontario.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent Marianne Meed Ward leads trader pricing in the Burlington, Ontario mayoral race at 68.5 percent, ahead of Rory Nisan at 31.5 percent and far lower odds for Lisa Kearns and other challengers. Her advantage stems from strong name recognition after two terms, a decisive 2022 re-election, and emphasis on experience amid affordability, transit, and public safety concerns. A mid-August poll showed her narrowly ahead among decided voters in a fragmented field that includes sitting councillors Nisan and Kearns, plus Keith Demoe and Yugalkeesor Ramdhonee. Nominations closed August 21 for the October 26 vote, with online and advance polling options available. Traders appear to price the split opposition and incumbency edge as decisive factors shaping implied probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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