The official itinerary released by the Chinese Foreign Ministry and White House sets Xi Jinping’s departure from Joint Base Andrews for September 25, following arrival on the 23rd, summit talks and a state dinner on the 24th, and a final tea plus National Archives visit that morning. This fixed three-day state visit schedule, confirmed days before the trip, underpins the strong trader consensus around the 25th as the exit date. No procedural delays, extensions, or cancellations have been signaled in bilateral preparations or recent diplomatic statements. Late adjustments remain possible in principle through unforeseen health, security, or negotiation developments, though historical patterns for such tightly scripted leader visits show departures rarely shift once publicly locked.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedSeptember 25 96.9%
September 26 2.9%
September 28 1.0%
September 24 or earlier <1%
NEW
NEW
Oct 7, 2026
September 25
97%
September 26
3%
September 28
1%
September 24 or earlier
1%
September 29 or later
1%
September 27
<1%
September 25 96.9%
September 26 2.9%
September 28 1.0%
September 24 or earlier <1%
NEW
NEW
Oct 7, 2026
September 25
$754 Vol.
97%
September 26
$60 Vol.
3%
September 28
$142 Vol.
1%
September 24 or earlier
$226 Vol.
1%
September 29 or later
$220 Vol.
1%
September 27
$133 Vol.
<1%
Xi Jinping is scheduled to begin a state visit to the United States on September 24, 2026, where he will be received by Donald Trump at the White House.
This market will resolve according to the date, in Eastern Time, on which Xi Jinping physically departs from the United States.
Departure is defined as the moment Xi Jinping leaves the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States, or the moment of take-off of an aircraft which contains Xi Jinping and subsequently lands outside of the United States.
If Xi Jinping does not physically enter the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States by October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or has not departed by that date, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and China; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The official itinerary released by the Chinese Foreign Ministry and White House sets Xi Jinping’s departure from Joint Base Andrews for September 25, following arrival on the 23rd, summit talks and a state dinner on the 24th, and a final tea plus National Archives visit that morning. This fixed three-day state visit schedule, confirmed days before the trip, underpins the strong trader consensus around the 25th as the exit date. No procedural delays, extensions, or cancellations have been signaled in bilateral preparations or recent diplomatic statements. Late adjustments remain possible in principle through unforeseen health, security, or negotiation developments, though historical patterns for such tightly scripted leader visits show departures rarely shift once publicly locked.
Xi Jinping is scheduled to begin a state visit to the United States on September 24, 2026, where he will be received by Donald Trump at the White House.
This market will resolve according to the date, in Eastern Time, on which Xi Jinping physically departs from the United States.
Departure is defined as the moment Xi Jinping leaves the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States, or the moment of take-off of an aircraft which contains Xi Jinping and subsequently lands outside of the United States.
If Xi Jinping does not physically enter the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States by October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or has not departed by that date, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and China; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the date, in Eastern Time, on which Xi Jinping physically departs from the United States.
Departure is defined as the moment Xi Jinping leaves the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States, or the moment of take-off of an aircraft which contains Xi Jinping and subsequently lands outside of the United States.
If Xi Jinping does not physically enter the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States by October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or has not departed by that date, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and China; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Market Opened: Sep 21, 2026, 6:57 PM ET
Volume
$1,534End Date
Oct 8, 2026Market Opened
Sep 21, 2026, 6:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Xi Jinping is scheduled to begin a state visit to the United States on September 24, 2026, where he will be received by Donald Trump at the White House.
This market will resolve according to the date, in Eastern Time, on which Xi Jinping physically departs from the United States.
Departure is defined as the moment Xi Jinping leaves the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States, or the moment of take-off of an aircraft which contains Xi Jinping and subsequently lands outside of the United States.
If Xi Jinping does not physically enter the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States by October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or has not departed by that date, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and China; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The official itinerary released by the Chinese Foreign Ministry and White House sets Xi Jinping’s departure from Joint Base Andrews for September 25, following arrival on the 23rd, summit talks and a state dinner on the 24th, and a final tea plus National Archives visit that morning. This fixed three-day state visit schedule, confirmed days before the trip, underpins the strong trader consensus around the 25th as the exit date. No procedural delays, extensions, or cancellations have been signaled in bilateral preparations or recent diplomatic statements. Late adjustments remain possible in principle through unforeseen health, security, or negotiation developments, though historical patterns for such tightly scripted leader visits show departures rarely shift once publicly locked.
Xi Jinping is scheduled to begin a state visit to the United States on September 24, 2026, where he will be received by Donald Trump at the White House.
This market will resolve according to the date, in Eastern Time, on which Xi Jinping physically departs from the United States.
Departure is defined as the moment Xi Jinping leaves the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States, or the moment of take-off of an aircraft which contains Xi Jinping and subsequently lands outside of the United States.
If Xi Jinping does not physically enter the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States by October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or has not departed by that date, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and China; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the date, in Eastern Time, on which Xi Jinping physically departs from the United States.
Departure is defined as the moment Xi Jinping leaves the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States, or the moment of take-off of an aircraft which contains Xi Jinping and subsequently lands outside of the United States.
If Xi Jinping does not physically enter the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States by October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or has not departed by that date, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and China; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$1,534End Date
Oct 8, 2026Market Opened
Sep 21, 2026, 6:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The official itinerary released by the Chinese Foreign Ministry and White House sets Xi Jinping’s departure from Joint Base Andrews for September 25, following arrival on the 23rd, summit talks and a state dinner on the 24th, and a final tea plus National Archives visit that morning. This fixed three-day state visit schedule, confirmed days before the trip, underpins the strong trader consensus around the 25th as the exit date. No procedural delays, extensions, or cancellations have been signaled in bilateral preparations or recent diplomatic statements. Late adjustments remain possible in principle through unforeseen health, security, or negotiation developments, though historical patterns for such tightly scripted leader visits show departures rarely shift once publicly locked.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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