China’s September consumer price index faces offsetting pressures that keep the 0.7–0.8% and 0.9–1.0% brackets nearly even in trader pricing. August’s 0.8% reading reflected higher transport and energy costs alongside seasonal food gains, yet food items overall remained in deflation and retail sales growth stayed subdued. Persistent weakness in household demand, property-sector drag, and excess manufacturing capacity continue to limit broad price transmission, while imported commodity costs tied to global energy markets provide modest upward support. Core inflation near 1.0% and the recent monthly rebound suggest limited momentum, leaving outcomes sensitive to the balance between domestic consumption data and any further commodity-price shifts before the mid-October release.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated0.9% to 1.0% 39%
0.7% to 0.8% 20%
1.1%+ 8.6%
≤0.4% 4.8%
NEW
NEW
Oct 14, 2026
≤0.4%
5%
0.5% to 0.6%
5%
0.7% to 0.8%
20%
0.9% to 1.0%
39%
1.1%+
19%
0.9% to 1.0% 39%
0.7% to 0.8% 20%
1.1%+ 8.6%
≤0.4% 4.8%
NEW
NEW
Oct 14, 2026
≤0.4%
$145 Vol.
5%
0.5% to 0.6%
$103 Vol.
5%
0.7% to 0.8%
$3,882 Vol.
20%
0.9% to 1.0%
$2,730 Vol.
39%
1.1%+
$99 Vol.
19%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over a 12-month period ending September 2026 as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the number the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by during the 12-month period ending September 2026 (% change from the same month in the previous year) according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for September 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently scheduled to be released in October 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for September 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Index in September 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/China’s September consumer price index faces offsetting pressures that keep the 0.7–0.8% and 0.9–1.0% brackets nearly even in trader pricing. August’s 0.8% reading reflected higher transport and energy costs alongside seasonal food gains, yet food items overall remained in deflation and retail sales growth stayed subdued. Persistent weakness in household demand, property-sector drag, and excess manufacturing capacity continue to limit broad price transmission, while imported commodity costs tied to global energy markets provide modest upward support. Core inflation near 1.0% and the recent monthly rebound suggest limited momentum, leaving outcomes sensitive to the balance between domestic consumption data and any further commodity-price shifts before the mid-October release.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over a 12-month period ending September 2026 as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the number the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by during the 12-month period ending September 2026 (% change from the same month in the previous year) according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for September 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently scheduled to be released in October 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for September 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Index in September 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
This market will resolve according to the number the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by during the 12-month period ending September 2026 (% change from the same month in the previous year) according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for September 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently scheduled to be released in October 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for September 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Index in September 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
Market Opened: Sep 9, 2026, 4:32 PM ET
Volume
$6,960End Date
Oct 14, 2026Market Opened
Sep 9, 2026, 4:32 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over a 12-month period ending September 2026 as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the number the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by during the 12-month period ending September 2026 (% change from the same month in the previous year) according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for September 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently scheduled to be released in October 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for September 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Index in September 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/China’s September consumer price index faces offsetting pressures that keep the 0.7–0.8% and 0.9–1.0% brackets nearly even in trader pricing. August’s 0.8% reading reflected higher transport and energy costs alongside seasonal food gains, yet food items overall remained in deflation and retail sales growth stayed subdued. Persistent weakness in household demand, property-sector drag, and excess manufacturing capacity continue to limit broad price transmission, while imported commodity costs tied to global energy markets provide modest upward support. Core inflation near 1.0% and the recent monthly rebound suggest limited momentum, leaving outcomes sensitive to the balance between domestic consumption data and any further commodity-price shifts before the mid-October release.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over a 12-month period ending September 2026 as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the number the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by during the 12-month period ending September 2026 (% change from the same month in the previous year) according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for September 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently scheduled to be released in October 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for September 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Index in September 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
This market will resolve according to the number the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by during the 12-month period ending September 2026 (% change from the same month in the previous year) according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for September 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently scheduled to be released in October 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for September 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Index in September 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
Volume
$6,960End Date
Oct 14, 2026Market Opened
Sep 9, 2026, 4:32 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...China’s September consumer price index faces offsetting pressures that keep the 0.7–0.8% and 0.9–1.0% brackets nearly even in trader pricing. August’s 0.8% reading reflected higher transport and energy costs alongside seasonal food gains, yet food items overall remained in deflation and retail sales growth stayed subdued. Persistent weakness in household demand, property-sector drag, and excess manufacturing capacity continue to limit broad price transmission, while imported commodity costs tied to global energy markets provide modest upward support. Core inflation near 1.0% and the recent monthly rebound suggest limited momentum, leaving outcomes sensitive to the balance between domestic consumption data and any further commodity-price shifts before the mid-October release.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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