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Geopolitics·China

Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?

icon for Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?
Geopolitics·China

Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?

95% chance
Polymarket

$634,322 Vol.

95% chance
Polymarket

$634,322 Vol.

If Xi Jinping visits the United States between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Xi Jinping physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States. Whether or not Xi Jinping enters US airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from the US or China, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Xi Jinping is scheduled for a state visit to the United States on September 24, 2026, following an invitation extended by President Trump during their May 2026 meeting in Beijing. US and Chinese officials have continued coordinating the arrangements into July and August despite occasional public statements on trade, elections, and Taiwan. This marks Xi's first such trip in over a decade and falls squarely within the resolution window before 2027. The confirmed date and sustained diplomatic contacts underpin the strong trader consensus reflected in current pricing, with limited near-term obstacles identified in official channels.

If Xi Jinping visits the United States between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Xi Jinping physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States. Whether or not Xi Jinping enters US airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.

The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from the US or China, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$634,322
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 13, 2026, 4:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
If Xi Jinping visits the United States between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Xi Jinping physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States. Whether or not Xi Jinping enters US airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from the US or China, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If Xi Jinping visits the United States between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Xi Jinping physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States. Whether or not Xi Jinping enters US airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from the US or China, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Xi Jinping is scheduled for a state visit to the United States on September 24, 2026, following an invitation extended by President Trump during their May 2026 meeting in Beijing. US and Chinese officials have continued coordinating the arrangements into July and August despite occasional public statements on trade, elections, and Taiwan. This marks Xi's first such trip in over a decade and falls squarely within the resolution window before 2027. The confirmed date and sustained diplomatic contacts underpin the strong trader consensus reflected in current pricing, with limited near-term obstacles identified in official channels.

If Xi Jinping visits the United States between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Xi Jinping physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States. Whether or not Xi Jinping enters US airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.

The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from the US or China, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$634,322
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 13, 2026, 4:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
If Xi Jinping visits the United States between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Xi Jinping physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States. Whether or not Xi Jinping enters US airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from the US or China, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 95% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 95¢, the market collectively assigns a 95% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?" has generated $634.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 13, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?" is 95% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 95% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.