Early tracking for the Colleen Hoover adaptation *Verity* centers on a $30–40 million domestic opening, supported by Anne Hathaway and Dakota Johnson’s star power and the book’s bestseller status, yet Polymarket odds remain tightly clustered because prior Hoover films range widely from $50 million (*It Ends with Us*) to the low teens. The R-rated erotic thriller tone and October 2 competition, including a major Tom Cruise title, add uncertainty around audience turnout and word-of-mouth. With no major trailer updates or guild buzz since mid-September tracking, traders weigh historical genre performance against the cast’s draw while awaiting final pre-release metrics.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated"Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office
"Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office
28m+ 28%
25-28m 26%
<16m 26%
19-22m 22%
NEW
NEW
Oct 4, 2026
<16m
26%
16-19m
14%
19-22m
22%
22-25m
20%
25-28m
26%
28m+
28%
28m+ 28%
25-28m 26%
<16m 26%
19-22m 22%
NEW
NEW
Oct 4, 2026
<16m
$0 Vol.
26%
16-19m
$0 Vol.
14%
19-22m
$0 Vol.
22%
22-25m
$0 Vol.
20%
25-28m
$0 Vol.
26%
28m+
$40 Vol.
28%
This market will resolve according to how much "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (October 2 - 4) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by October 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Early tracking for the Colleen Hoover adaptation *Verity* centers on a $30–40 million domestic opening, supported by Anne Hathaway and Dakota Johnson’s star power and the book’s bestseller status, yet Polymarket odds remain tightly clustered because prior Hoover films range widely from $50 million (*It Ends with Us*) to the low teens. The R-rated erotic thriller tone and October 2 competition, including a major Tom Cruise title, add uncertainty around audience turnout and word-of-mouth. With no major trailer updates or guild buzz since mid-September tracking, traders weigh historical genre performance against the cast’s draw while awaiting final pre-release metrics.
This market will resolve according to how much "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (October 2 - 4) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by October 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by October 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Market Opened: Sep 21, 2026, 7:08 PM ET
Volume
$40End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Sep 21, 2026, 7:08 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (October 2 - 4) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by October 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Early tracking for the Colleen Hoover adaptation *Verity* centers on a $30–40 million domestic opening, supported by Anne Hathaway and Dakota Johnson’s star power and the book’s bestseller status, yet Polymarket odds remain tightly clustered because prior Hoover films range widely from $50 million (*It Ends with Us*) to the low teens. The R-rated erotic thriller tone and October 2 competition, including a major Tom Cruise title, add uncertainty around audience turnout and word-of-mouth. With no major trailer updates or guild buzz since mid-September tracking, traders weigh historical genre performance against the cast’s draw while awaiting final pre-release metrics.
This market will resolve according to how much "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (October 2 - 4) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by October 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by October 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$40End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Sep 21, 2026, 7:08 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Early tracking for the Colleen Hoover adaptation *Verity* centers on a $30–40 million domestic opening, supported by Anne Hathaway and Dakota Johnson’s star power and the book’s bestseller status, yet Polymarket odds remain tightly clustered because prior Hoover films range widely from $50 million (*It Ends with Us*) to the low teens. The R-rated erotic thriller tone and October 2 competition, including a major Tom Cruise title, add uncertainty around audience turnout and word-of-mouth. With no major trailer updates or guild buzz since mid-September tracking, traders weigh historical genre performance against the cast’s draw while awaiting final pre-release metrics.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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