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icon for Trump meets with Putin by...?

Trump meets with Putin by...?

icon for Trump meets with Putin by...?

Trump meets with Putin by...?

$107,201 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$107,201 Vol.

Polymarket

September 30

$35,486 Vol.

8%

December 31

$61,418 Vol.

36%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump meets with Vladimir Putin between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Trump and Putin are present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trump’s prior direct engagement with Putin occurred during the August 2025 Alaska summit aimed at Ukraine negotiations, after which bilateral diplomatic momentum has faded amid stalled talks and continued battlefield advances by Russian forces. Recent reporting highlights growing White House skepticism toward Moscow’s willingness to compromise, following multiple calls and outreach that produced no territorial or ceasefire breakthroughs. Ongoing U.S. mediation efforts between Kyiv and Moscow remain focused on prisoner exchanges and temporary pauses rather than new leader-level meetings, while Trump’s attention has shifted toward other foreign policy priorities. No scheduled follow-up summit or high-level bilateral encounter has been announced in the near term, though ad hoc phone diplomacy or envoy-level contacts could still occur depending on Ukraine developments.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump meets with Vladimir Putin between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Trump and Putin are present and interact with each other in person.

An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$107,201
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
May 26, 2026, 6:39 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump meets with Vladimir Putin between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Trump and Putin are present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump meets with Vladimir Putin between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Trump and Putin are present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trump’s prior direct engagement with Putin occurred during the August 2025 Alaska summit aimed at Ukraine negotiations, after which bilateral diplomatic momentum has faded amid stalled talks and continued battlefield advances by Russian forces. Recent reporting highlights growing White House skepticism toward Moscow’s willingness to compromise, following multiple calls and outreach that produced no territorial or ceasefire breakthroughs. Ongoing U.S. mediation efforts between Kyiv and Moscow remain focused on prisoner exchanges and temporary pauses rather than new leader-level meetings, while Trump’s attention has shifted toward other foreign policy priorities. No scheduled follow-up summit or high-level bilateral encounter has been announced in the near term, though ad hoc phone diplomacy or envoy-level contacts could still occur depending on Ukraine developments.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump meets with Vladimir Putin between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Trump and Putin are present and interact with each other in person.

An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$107,201
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
May 26, 2026, 6:39 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump meets with Vladimir Putin between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Trump and Putin are present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Trump meets with Putin by...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "December 31" at 36%, followed by "September 30" at 8%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 36¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 36% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Trump meets with Putin by...?" has generated $107.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on May 26, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Trump meets with Putin by...?," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Trump meets with Putin by...?" is "December 31" at 36%, meaning the market assigns a 36% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "September 30" at 8%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Trump meets with Putin by...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.