Grand Theft Auto VI holds a commanding 61% implied probability in the Game of the Year market, driven by its unprecedented cultural anticipation as Rockstar's long-delayed open-world epic, now locked for a November 19, 2026 release just weeks before the December 10 ceremony. Traders see the title's blockbuster scale and series legacy outweighing the tight eligibility window, which leaves limited time for jury consideration. Other contenders such as Resident Evil Requiem, Marvel's Wolverine, and Crimson Desert trail significantly, reflecting strong but secondary momentum from established franchises and recent previews. Upcoming release timing, early reviews, and any final delays remain the key swing factors that could reshape the race before nominations lock.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedThe Game Awards: Game of the Year
Grand Theft Auto VI 61%
Resident Evil Requiem 9%
Phantom Blade Zero 7.3%
Marvel's Wolverine 5.7%
$16,430 Vol.
$16,430 Vol.
Grand Theft Auto VI
61%
Resident Evil Requiem
9%
Phantom Blade Zero
7%
Marvel's Wolverine
6%
Gears of War: E-Day
4%
Nioh 3
4%
Exodus
4%
Control Resonant
4%
Crimson Desert
3%
Saros
3%
The Duskbloods
3%
Onimusha: Way of the Sword
3%
Pragmata
3%
Stranger Than Heaven
3%
Fable
3%
Esoteric Ebb
2%
Marathon
2%
007 First Light
2%
Slay the Spire 2
2%
Forza Horizon 6
2%
Cairn
1%
Mouse: P.I. For Hire
1%
Half-Life 3
<1%
Reanimal
<1%
Grand Theft Auto VI 61%
Resident Evil Requiem 9%
Phantom Blade Zero 7.3%
Marvel's Wolverine 5.7%
$16,430 Vol.
$16,430 Vol.
Grand Theft Auto VI
61%
Resident Evil Requiem
9%
Phantom Blade Zero
7%
Marvel's Wolverine
6%
Gears of War: E-Day
4%
Nioh 3
4%
Exodus
4%
Control Resonant
4%
Crimson Desert
3%
Saros
3%
The Duskbloods
3%
Onimusha: Way of the Sword
3%
Pragmata
3%
Stranger Than Heaven
3%
Fable
3%
Esoteric Ebb
2%
Marathon
2%
007 First Light
2%
Slay the Spire 2
2%
Forza Horizon 6
2%
Cairn
1%
Mouse: P.I. For Hire
1%
Half-Life 3
<1%
Reanimal
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed video game that wins the 2026 Game Award for Game of the Year.
If a game is not officially nominated for the 2026 Game Award for Game of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated game whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from The Game Awards, including data from their website (e.g., https://thegameawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 4, 2026, 3:29 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed video game that wins the 2026 Game Award for Game of the Year.
If a game is not officially nominated for the 2026 Game Award for Game of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated game whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from The Game Awards, including data from their website (e.g., https://thegameawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Grand Theft Auto VI holds a commanding 61% implied probability in the Game of the Year market, driven by its unprecedented cultural anticipation as Rockstar's long-delayed open-world epic, now locked for a November 19, 2026 release just weeks before the December 10 ceremony. Traders see the title's blockbuster scale and series legacy outweighing the tight eligibility window, which leaves limited time for jury consideration. Other contenders such as Resident Evil Requiem, Marvel's Wolverine, and Crimson Desert trail significantly, reflecting strong but secondary momentum from established franchises and recent previews. Upcoming release timing, early reviews, and any final delays remain the key swing factors that could reshape the race before nominations lock.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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