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icon for The Game Awards: Best Independent Game

The Game Awards: Best Independent Game

icon for The Game Awards: Best Independent Game

The Game Awards: Best Independent Game

Mina the Hollower 37%

Mewgenics 11%

Meccha Chameleon 11%

MIO: Memories in Orbit 9.8%

Polymarket

$13,678 Vol.

Mina the Hollower 37%

Mewgenics 11%

Meccha Chameleon 11%

MIO: Memories in Orbit 9.8%

Polymarket

$13,678 Vol.

Mina the Hollower

$1,957 Vol.

37%

Mewgenics

$412 Vol.

11%

Meccha Chameleon

$4,041 Vol.

11%

MIO: Memories in Orbit

$333 Vol.

10%

Big Walk

$413 Vol.

8%

Mouse: P.I. For Hire

$391 Vol.

7%

Mixtape

$329 Vol.

7%

ZERO PARADES: For Dead Spies

$347 Vol.

4%

Fields of Mistria

$396 Vol.

4%

Esoteric Ebb

$272 Vol.

3%

Grave Seasons

$351 Vol.

3%

Cairn

$338 Vol.

3%

Vampire Crawlers

$361 Vol.

3%

Reanimal

$341 Vol.

3%

Titanium Court

$345 Vol.

3%

Tenebris Somnia

$345 Vol.

3%

MOLE

$349 Vol.

2%

Replaced

$342 Vol.

2%

inKONBINI: One Store. Many Stories

$342 Vol.

2%

Witchbrook

$365 Vol.

1%

Order of the Sinking Star

$359 Vol.

1%

Neverway

$291 Vol.

<1%

Coffee Talk Tokyo

$336 Vol.

<1%

Phonopolis

$322 Vol.

<1%

The Game Awards are presented annually to honor achievements in the video game industry. The 2026 Game Awards are currently scheduled to be presented on December 10, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed video game that wins the 2026 Game Award for Best Independent Game. If a game is not officially nominated for the 2026 Game Award for Best Independent Game when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated game whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from The Game Awards, including data from their website (e.g., https://thegameawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Mina the Hollower leads The Game Awards Best Independent Game market at 38.5% implied probability, reflecting trader consensus around Yacht Club Games' established pedigree from the Shovel Knight series and sustained anticipation for its Metroidvania-style gameplay following recent trailers. A crowded field of other indies—including Mewgenics and Meccha Chameleon at 10.5% each, plus MIO: Memories in Orbit and Big Walk—keeps the category competitive, with probabilities shaped by varying levels of critical buzz, release timing, and platform visibility. Key differentiators include developer reputation, unique mechanics, and festival exposure, while the long tail of sub-4% contenders highlights how late reviews, Steam wishlists, and December nominations could still shift momentum ahead of the ceremony.

The Game Awards are presented annually to honor achievements in the video game industry. The 2026 Game Awards are currently scheduled to be presented on December 10, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed video game that wins the 2026 Game Award for Best Independent Game.

If a game is not officially nominated for the 2026 Game Award for Best Independent Game when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated game whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from The Game Awards, including data from their website (e.g., https://thegameawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$13,678
End Date
Dec 10, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 6:33 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Game Awards are presented annually to honor achievements in the video game industry. The 2026 Game Awards are currently scheduled to be presented on December 10, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed video game that wins the 2026 Game Award for Best Independent Game. If a game is not officially nominated for the 2026 Game Award for Best Independent Game when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated game whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from The Game Awards, including data from their website (e.g., https://thegameawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The Game Awards are presented annually to honor achievements in the video game industry. The 2026 Game Awards are currently scheduled to be presented on December 10, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed video game that wins the 2026 Game Award for Best Independent Game. If a game is not officially nominated for the 2026 Game Award for Best Independent Game when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated game whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from The Game Awards, including data from their website (e.g., https://thegameawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Mina the Hollower leads The Game Awards Best Independent Game market at 38.5% implied probability, reflecting trader consensus around Yacht Club Games' established pedigree from the Shovel Knight series and sustained anticipation for its Metroidvania-style gameplay following recent trailers. A crowded field of other indies—including Mewgenics and Meccha Chameleon at 10.5% each, plus MIO: Memories in Orbit and Big Walk—keeps the category competitive, with probabilities shaped by varying levels of critical buzz, release timing, and platform visibility. Key differentiators include developer reputation, unique mechanics, and festival exposure, while the long tail of sub-4% contenders highlights how late reviews, Steam wishlists, and December nominations could still shift momentum ahead of the ceremony.

The Game Awards are presented annually to honor achievements in the video game industry. The 2026 Game Awards are currently scheduled to be presented on December 10, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed video game that wins the 2026 Game Award for Best Independent Game.

If a game is not officially nominated for the 2026 Game Award for Best Independent Game when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated game whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from The Game Awards, including data from their website (e.g., https://thegameawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$13,678
End Date
Dec 10, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 6:33 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Game Awards are presented annually to honor achievements in the video game industry. The 2026 Game Awards are currently scheduled to be presented on December 10, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed video game that wins the 2026 Game Award for Best Independent Game. If a game is not officially nominated for the 2026 Game Award for Best Independent Game when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated game whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from The Game Awards, including data from their website (e.g., https://thegameawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"The Game Awards: Best Independent Game" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 24 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Mina the Hollower" at 37%, followed by "Mewgenics" at 11%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 37¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 37% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "The Game Awards: Best Independent Game" has generated $13.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 5, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "The Game Awards: Best Independent Game," browse the 24 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "The Game Awards: Best Independent Game" is "Mina the Hollower" at 37%, meaning the market assigns a 37% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Mewgenics" at 11%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "The Game Awards: Best Independent Game" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.