With eligibility for the 2027 Grammys wrapping up in late August 2026, trader sentiment reflects a wide-open Record of the Year field. Multiple placeholder options and early contenders sit near 50% implied probability, while Taylor Swift’s “The Fate of Ophelia” leads named tracks at 40%. The competitive dynamics hinge on streaming velocity, critical consensus, and commercial peaks from summer and fall releases rather than any single frontrunner. Differentiating factors include Billboard Hot 100 longevity, Spotify streaming milestones, and guild or critics’ nods that historically signal academy momentum. Upcoming chart updates and final-quarter releases could quickly shift the market-implied odds before nominations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedGrammys 2027: Record of the Year Winner
Grammys 2027: Record of the Year Winner
Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley 38%
I Just Might - Bruno Mars 35%
Aperture - Harry Styles 33%
So Easy (To Fall In Love) - Olivia Dean 32%
NEW
NEW
Feb 7, 2027
Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley
38%
I Just Might - Bruno Mars
35%
Aperture - Harry Styles
33%
So Easy (To Fall In Love) - Olivia Dean
32%
WHERE IS MY HUSBAND! - RAYE
31%
The Fate of Ophelia - Taylor Swift
30%
Man I Need - Olivia Dean
27%
Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley 38%
I Just Might - Bruno Mars 35%
Aperture - Harry Styles 33%
So Easy (To Fall In Love) - Olivia Dean 32%
NEW
NEW
Feb 7, 2027
Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley
$0 Vol.
38%
I Just Might - Bruno Mars
$0 Vol.
35%
Aperture - Harry Styles
$0 Vol.
33%
So Easy (To Fall In Love) - Olivia Dean
$0 Vol.
32%
WHERE IS MY HUSBAND! - RAYE
$0 Vol.
31%
The Fate of Ophelia - Taylor Swift
$0 Vol.
30%
Man I Need - Olivia Dean
$40 Vol.
27%
The GRAMMY Awards are presented annually by the Recording Academy. For the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards, nominations are scheduled for November 16, 2026, and the ceremony for February 7, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed track that wins Record of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards.
If a track is not officially nominated for Record of the Year when the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated track whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source will be the television broadcast of the awards and the Grammy website (https://www.grammy.com/); however, other credible reporting may be used.With eligibility for the 2027 Grammys wrapping up in late August 2026, trader sentiment reflects a wide-open Record of the Year field. Multiple placeholder options and early contenders sit near 50% implied probability, while Taylor Swift’s “The Fate of Ophelia” leads named tracks at 40%. The competitive dynamics hinge on streaming velocity, critical consensus, and commercial peaks from summer and fall releases rather than any single frontrunner. Differentiating factors include Billboard Hot 100 longevity, Spotify streaming milestones, and guild or critics’ nods that historically signal academy momentum. Upcoming chart updates and final-quarter releases could quickly shift the market-implied odds before nominations.
The GRAMMY Awards are presented annually by the Recording Academy. For the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards, nominations are scheduled for November 16, 2026, and the ceremony for February 7, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed track that wins Record of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards.
If a track is not officially nominated for Record of the Year when the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated track whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source will be the television broadcast of the awards and the Grammy website (https://www.grammy.com/); however, other credible reporting may be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed track that wins Record of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards.
If a track is not officially nominated for Record of the Year when the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated track whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source will be the television broadcast of the awards and the Grammy website (https://www.grammy.com/); however, other credible reporting may be used.
Market Opened: Aug 6, 2026, 4:24 AM ET
Volume
$40End Date
Feb 7, 2027Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 4:24 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The GRAMMY Awards are presented annually by the Recording Academy. For the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards, nominations are scheduled for November 16, 2026, and the ceremony for February 7, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed track that wins Record of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards.
If a track is not officially nominated for Record of the Year when the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated track whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source will be the television broadcast of the awards and the Grammy website (https://www.grammy.com/); however, other credible reporting may be used.With eligibility for the 2027 Grammys wrapping up in late August 2026, trader sentiment reflects a wide-open Record of the Year field. Multiple placeholder options and early contenders sit near 50% implied probability, while Taylor Swift’s “The Fate of Ophelia” leads named tracks at 40%. The competitive dynamics hinge on streaming velocity, critical consensus, and commercial peaks from summer and fall releases rather than any single frontrunner. Differentiating factors include Billboard Hot 100 longevity, Spotify streaming milestones, and guild or critics’ nods that historically signal academy momentum. Upcoming chart updates and final-quarter releases could quickly shift the market-implied odds before nominations.
The GRAMMY Awards are presented annually by the Recording Academy. For the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards, nominations are scheduled for November 16, 2026, and the ceremony for February 7, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed track that wins Record of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards.
If a track is not officially nominated for Record of the Year when the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated track whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source will be the television broadcast of the awards and the Grammy website (https://www.grammy.com/); however, other credible reporting may be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed track that wins Record of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards.
If a track is not officially nominated for Record of the Year when the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated track whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source will be the television broadcast of the awards and the Grammy website (https://www.grammy.com/); however, other credible reporting may be used.
Volume
$40End Date
Feb 7, 2027Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 4:24 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...With eligibility for the 2027 Grammys wrapping up in late August 2026, trader sentiment reflects a wide-open Record of the Year field. Multiple placeholder options and early contenders sit near 50% implied probability, while Taylor Swift’s “The Fate of Ophelia” leads named tracks at 40%. The competitive dynamics hinge on streaming velocity, critical consensus, and commercial peaks from summer and fall releases rather than any single frontrunner. Differentiating factors include Billboard Hot 100 longevity, Spotify streaming milestones, and guild or critics’ nods that historically signal academy momentum. Upcoming chart updates and final-quarter releases could quickly shift the market-implied odds before nominations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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