Incumbent Governor Bassey Edet Otu secured the APC nomination unopposed in the May 2026 primaries with over 116,000 votes across all wards, consolidating party support ahead of the February 6, 2027, gubernatorial election. Traders assign him an 87.5% implied probability, reflecting his incumbency advantages, reported infrastructure and agricultural projects, and recent grassroots endorsements from state APC leaders tying his campaign to federal priorities. PDP nominee Arthur Jarvis Archibong, affirmed in his party’s May primaries, faces a 7.5% probability amid limited organized backing and ongoing internal PDP factional disputes. Other listed candidates show minimal traction, consistent with historical patterns favoring established incumbents in Nigerian state contests where party consolidation and early mobilization often determine outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNEW
NEW
Feb 6, 2027
Otu Bassey Edet
88%
Arthur Jarvis
8%
NEW
NEW
Feb 6, 2027
Otu Bassey Edet
$2,527 Vol.
88%
Arthur Jarvis
$756 Vol.
8%
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Cross River State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Cross River State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.Incumbent Governor Bassey Edet Otu secured the APC nomination unopposed in the May 2026 primaries with over 116,000 votes across all wards, consolidating party support ahead of the February 6, 2027, gubernatorial election. Traders assign him an 87.5% implied probability, reflecting his incumbency advantages, reported infrastructure and agricultural projects, and recent grassroots endorsements from state APC leaders tying his campaign to federal priorities. PDP nominee Arthur Jarvis Archibong, affirmed in his party’s May primaries, faces a 7.5% probability amid limited organized backing and ongoing internal PDP factional disputes. Other listed candidates show minimal traction, consistent with historical patterns favoring established incumbents in Nigerian state contests where party consolidation and early mobilization often determine outcomes.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Cross River State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Cross River State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Cross River State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 8:09 PM ET
Volume
$3,284End Date
Feb 6, 2027Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 8:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Cross River State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Cross River State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.Incumbent Governor Bassey Edet Otu secured the APC nomination unopposed in the May 2026 primaries with over 116,000 votes across all wards, consolidating party support ahead of the February 6, 2027, gubernatorial election. Traders assign him an 87.5% implied probability, reflecting his incumbency advantages, reported infrastructure and agricultural projects, and recent grassroots endorsements from state APC leaders tying his campaign to federal priorities. PDP nominee Arthur Jarvis Archibong, affirmed in his party’s May primaries, faces a 7.5% probability amid limited organized backing and ongoing internal PDP factional disputes. Other listed candidates show minimal traction, consistent with historical patterns favoring established incumbents in Nigerian state contests where party consolidation and early mobilization often determine outcomes.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Cross River State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Cross River State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Cross River State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
Volume
$3,284End Date
Feb 6, 2027Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 8:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent Governor Bassey Edet Otu secured the APC nomination unopposed in the May 2026 primaries with over 116,000 votes across all wards, consolidating party support ahead of the February 6, 2027, gubernatorial election. Traders assign him an 87.5% implied probability, reflecting his incumbency advantages, reported infrastructure and agricultural projects, and recent grassroots endorsements from state APC leaders tying his campaign to federal priorities. PDP nominee Arthur Jarvis Archibong, affirmed in his party’s May primaries, faces a 7.5% probability amid limited organized backing and ongoing internal PDP factional disputes. Other listed candidates show minimal traction, consistent with historical patterns favoring established incumbents in Nigerian state contests where party consolidation and early mobilization often determine outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions