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Politics·Africa

Kwara, Nigeria Governor Election Winner

icon for Kwara, Nigeria Governor Election Winner
Politics·Africa

Kwara, Nigeria Governor Election Winner

Salihu Danladi 66%

Sulaiman Bolakale Kawu 29%

Ajibade Adekunle 1.0%

Zakari Mohammed <1%

Polymarket
NEW

Salihu Danladi 66%

Sulaiman Bolakale Kawu 29%

Ajibade Adekunle 1.0%

Zakari Mohammed <1%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Salihu Danladi

Salihu Danladi

$4,368 Vol.

66%

icon for Sulaiman Bolakale Kawu

Sulaiman Bolakale Kawu

$1,001 Vol.

29%

icon for Ajibade Adekunle

Ajibade Adekunle

$146 Vol.

1%

icon for Zakari Mohammed

Zakari Mohammed

$274 Vol.

<1%

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Kwara State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Kwara State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.Salihu Danladi's 66% market price reflects his status as the All Progressives Congress (APC) governorship candidate following his decisive May 2026 primary victory, where he secured over 94,000 votes across Kwara's 16 local government areas and received the party's INEC nomination form. Incumbent Governor AbdulRahman AbdulRazaq and President Bola Tinubu have publicly backed the Speaker of the Kwara State House of Assembly, reinforcing party machinery and access to state resources ahead of the 2027 poll. Sulaiman Bolakale Kawu's 28.5% share aligns with his emergence as the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP) consensus candidate, bolstered by recent high-profile defections from the APC and efforts by figures such as former Senate President Bukola Saraki to consolidate opposition support. Minor candidates remain at negligible levels amid APC dominance in the state. Recent internal APC tensions and opposition realignments have introduced some volatility but have not materially altered the leading probabilities.

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Kwara State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Kwara State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
Volume
$5,789
End Date
Feb 6, 2027
Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 4:25 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Kwara State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Kwara State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Kwara State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Kwara State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.Salihu Danladi's 66% market price reflects his status as the All Progressives Congress (APC) governorship candidate following his decisive May 2026 primary victory, where he secured over 94,000 votes across Kwara's 16 local government areas and received the party's INEC nomination form. Incumbent Governor AbdulRahman AbdulRazaq and President Bola Tinubu have publicly backed the Speaker of the Kwara State House of Assembly, reinforcing party machinery and access to state resources ahead of the 2027 poll. Sulaiman Bolakale Kawu's 28.5% share aligns with his emergence as the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP) consensus candidate, bolstered by recent high-profile defections from the APC and efforts by figures such as former Senate President Bukola Saraki to consolidate opposition support. Minor candidates remain at negligible levels amid APC dominance in the state. Recent internal APC tensions and opposition realignments have introduced some volatility but have not materially altered the leading probabilities.

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Kwara State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Kwara State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
Volume
$5,789
End Date
Feb 6, 2027
Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 4:25 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Kwara State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Kwara State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Kwara, Nigeria Governor Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Salihu Danladi" at 66%, followed by "Sulaiman Bolakale Kawu" at 28%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 66¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 66% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Kwara, Nigeria Governor Election Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 21, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Kwara, Nigeria Governor Election Winner," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Kwara, Nigeria Governor Election Winner" is "Salihu Danladi" at 66%, meaning the market assigns a 66% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Sulaiman Bolakale Kawu" at 28%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Kwara, Nigeria Governor Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.