Obafemi Hamzat holds the leading position in trader consensus for the 2027 Lagos governorship at 86.5 percent, reflecting his status as the All Progressives Congress consensus candidate. Recent developments include his decisive victory in the May 2026 APC primary, where he secured over 99 percent of votes after rival aspirants withdrew, followed by endorsements from outgoing Governor Babajide Sanwo-Olu and President Bola Tinubu in late August 2026. The party’s Governor’s Advisory Council also adopted him unanimously and covered his nomination form costs. Lagos APC structures have maintained continuous control since 1999, with campaign preparations now underway ahead of the 2027 vote. Lower-priced alternatives such as Rhodes-Vivour Gbadebo Patrick and Sowore Robert sit below 7 percent amid limited reported shifts in opposition positioning or party defections that would alter the current alignment.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedObafemi Hamzat 87%
Rhodes-Vivour Gbadebo Patrick 6.6%
Sowore Robert 4.1%
Naheem Balogun 3.8%
NEW
NEW
Feb 6, 2027
Obafemi Hamzat
87%
Rhodes-Vivour Gbadebo Patrick
7%
Sowore Robert
4%
Naheem Balogun
4%
Adeyemi Abiola Roseline
4%
Funso Doherty
3%
Adedeji Doherty
3%
Laja Adeoye
3%
Femi Olaniyi
1%
Oluwadamola Adesoca Sol Nuyi
1%
Obafemi Hamzat 87%
Rhodes-Vivour Gbadebo Patrick 6.6%
Sowore Robert 4.1%
Naheem Balogun 3.8%
NEW
NEW
Feb 6, 2027
Obafemi Hamzat
$3,841 Vol.
87%
Rhodes-Vivour Gbadebo Patrick
$239 Vol.
7%
Sowore Robert
$234 Vol.
4%
Naheem Balogun
$225 Vol.
4%
Adeyemi Abiola Roseline
$225 Vol.
4%
Funso Doherty
$225 Vol.
3%
Adedeji Doherty
$225 Vol.
3%
Laja Adeoye
$225 Vol.
3%
Femi Olaniyi
$245 Vol.
1%
Oluwadamola Adesoca Sol Nuyi
$247 Vol.
1%
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Lagos State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Lagos State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.Obafemi Hamzat holds the leading position in trader consensus for the 2027 Lagos governorship at 86.5 percent, reflecting his status as the All Progressives Congress consensus candidate. Recent developments include his decisive victory in the May 2026 APC primary, where he secured over 99 percent of votes after rival aspirants withdrew, followed by endorsements from outgoing Governor Babajide Sanwo-Olu and President Bola Tinubu in late August 2026. The party’s Governor’s Advisory Council also adopted him unanimously and covered his nomination form costs. Lagos APC structures have maintained continuous control since 1999, with campaign preparations now underway ahead of the 2027 vote. Lower-priced alternatives such as Rhodes-Vivour Gbadebo Patrick and Sowore Robert sit below 7 percent amid limited reported shifts in opposition positioning or party defections that would alter the current alignment.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Lagos State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Lagos State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Lagos State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 4:29 PM ET
Volume
$5,931End Date
Feb 6, 2027Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 4:29 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Lagos State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Lagos State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.Obafemi Hamzat holds the leading position in trader consensus for the 2027 Lagos governorship at 86.5 percent, reflecting his status as the All Progressives Congress consensus candidate. Recent developments include his decisive victory in the May 2026 APC primary, where he secured over 99 percent of votes after rival aspirants withdrew, followed by endorsements from outgoing Governor Babajide Sanwo-Olu and President Bola Tinubu in late August 2026. The party’s Governor’s Advisory Council also adopted him unanimously and covered his nomination form costs. Lagos APC structures have maintained continuous control since 1999, with campaign preparations now underway ahead of the 2027 vote. Lower-priced alternatives such as Rhodes-Vivour Gbadebo Patrick and Sowore Robert sit below 7 percent amid limited reported shifts in opposition positioning or party defections that would alter the current alignment.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Lagos State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Lagos State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Lagos State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
Volume
$5,931End Date
Feb 6, 2027Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 4:29 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Obafemi Hamzat holds the leading position in trader consensus for the 2027 Lagos governorship at 86.5 percent, reflecting his status as the All Progressives Congress consensus candidate. Recent developments include his decisive victory in the May 2026 APC primary, where he secured over 99 percent of votes after rival aspirants withdrew, followed by endorsements from outgoing Governor Babajide Sanwo-Olu and President Bola Tinubu in late August 2026. The party’s Governor’s Advisory Council also adopted him unanimously and covered his nomination form costs. Lagos APC structures have maintained continuous control since 1999, with campaign preparations now underway ahead of the 2027 vote. Lower-priced alternatives such as Rhodes-Vivour Gbadebo Patrick and Sowore Robert sit below 7 percent amid limited reported shifts in opposition positioning or party defections that would alter the current alignment.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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