Aliyu Wadada Ahmed leads trader consensus as the APC gubernatorial nominee after securing the party primary with a wide margin over rivals including former Inspector General Mohammed Abubakar Adamu and winning the endorsement of incumbent Governor Abdullahi Sule following extensive stakeholder consultations. This backing from the ruling party structure, combined with public support from Vice President Kashim Shettima and meetings with President Tinubu, has reinforced perceptions of strong organizational advantage ahead of the February 2027 vote. Opposition contenders such as PDP candidate Emmanuel David Ombugadu, ADC’s Nuhu Angbazo, and Labour Party’s Jonathan Gaza Gbefwi hold lower implied probabilities due to APC’s recent electoral record in the state and limited reported momentum shifts in the past month. Primary outcomes and zoning arrangements within APC remain key variables that could still influence final positioning.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedAliyu Wadada Ahmed 66%
Nuhu Angbazo 8%
Emmanuel David Ombugadu 3.5%
Gbefwi Gaza Jonathan <1%
NEW
NEW
Feb 6, 2027
Aliyu Wadada Ahmed
66%
Nuhu Angbazo
8%
Emmanuel David Ombugadu
4%
Gbefwi Gaza Jonathan
1%
Mohammed Abubakar Adamu
1%
Aliyu Wadada Ahmed 66%
Nuhu Angbazo 8%
Emmanuel David Ombugadu 3.5%
Gbefwi Gaza Jonathan <1%
NEW
NEW
Feb 6, 2027
Aliyu Wadada Ahmed
$4,350 Vol.
66%
Nuhu Angbazo
$1,383 Vol.
8%
Emmanuel David Ombugadu
$282 Vol.
4%
Gbefwi Gaza Jonathan
$213 Vol.
1%
Mohammed Abubakar Adamu
$220 Vol.
1%
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Nasarawa State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nasarawa State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.Aliyu Wadada Ahmed leads trader consensus as the APC gubernatorial nominee after securing the party primary with a wide margin over rivals including former Inspector General Mohammed Abubakar Adamu and winning the endorsement of incumbent Governor Abdullahi Sule following extensive stakeholder consultations. This backing from the ruling party structure, combined with public support from Vice President Kashim Shettima and meetings with President Tinubu, has reinforced perceptions of strong organizational advantage ahead of the February 2027 vote. Opposition contenders such as PDP candidate Emmanuel David Ombugadu, ADC’s Nuhu Angbazo, and Labour Party’s Jonathan Gaza Gbefwi hold lower implied probabilities due to APC’s recent electoral record in the state and limited reported momentum shifts in the past month. Primary outcomes and zoning arrangements within APC remain key variables that could still influence final positioning.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Nasarawa State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nasarawa State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nasarawa State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 4:28 PM ET
Volume
$6,448End Date
Feb 6, 2027Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 4:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Nasarawa State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nasarawa State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.Aliyu Wadada Ahmed leads trader consensus as the APC gubernatorial nominee after securing the party primary with a wide margin over rivals including former Inspector General Mohammed Abubakar Adamu and winning the endorsement of incumbent Governor Abdullahi Sule following extensive stakeholder consultations. This backing from the ruling party structure, combined with public support from Vice President Kashim Shettima and meetings with President Tinubu, has reinforced perceptions of strong organizational advantage ahead of the February 2027 vote. Opposition contenders such as PDP candidate Emmanuel David Ombugadu, ADC’s Nuhu Angbazo, and Labour Party’s Jonathan Gaza Gbefwi hold lower implied probabilities due to APC’s recent electoral record in the state and limited reported momentum shifts in the past month. Primary outcomes and zoning arrangements within APC remain key variables that could still influence final positioning.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Nasarawa State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nasarawa State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nasarawa State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
Volume
$6,448End Date
Feb 6, 2027Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 4:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Aliyu Wadada Ahmed leads trader consensus as the APC gubernatorial nominee after securing the party primary with a wide margin over rivals including former Inspector General Mohammed Abubakar Adamu and winning the endorsement of incumbent Governor Abdullahi Sule following extensive stakeholder consultations. This backing from the ruling party structure, combined with public support from Vice President Kashim Shettima and meetings with President Tinubu, has reinforced perceptions of strong organizational advantage ahead of the February 2027 vote. Opposition contenders such as PDP candidate Emmanuel David Ombugadu, ADC’s Nuhu Angbazo, and Labour Party’s Jonathan Gaza Gbefwi hold lower implied probabilities due to APC’s recent electoral record in the state and limited reported momentum shifts in the past month. Primary outcomes and zoning arrangements within APC remain key variables that could still influence final positioning.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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