**Spider-Man: Brand New Day** has demonstrated exceptional staying power through its fifth weekend, holding the top spot with a $22.5 million gross on Aug. 28-30 after a string of strong holds (-60%, -51%, -45%, -42%). This performance stems from robust word-of-mouth, a 90% critics score, and an 8.2 audience rating that have supported 2.5x legs so far on a $225 million budget. With domestic totals nearing $894 million and theater counts down to roughly 3,678, the sixth weekend (Sep. 4-6) hinges on whether the film sustains a 35-45% drop amid typical late-summer erosion or benefits from minimal counterprogramming. Traders see the outcome split evenly across the provided ranges because small variations in daily tracking or hold percentage could push results anywhere from under $11 million to $15 million-plus, reflecting the inherent volatility in superhero legs this deep into release.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 6th Weekend Box Office
13-14m 43%
14-15m 43%
15m+ 43%
12-13m 27%
<11m
26%
11-12m
24%
12-13m
27%
13-14m
43%
14-15m
43%
15m+
43%
13-14m 43%
14-15m 43%
15m+ 43%
12-13m 27%
<11m
26%
11-12m
24%
12-13m
27%
13-14m
43%
14-15m
43%
15m+
43%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Market Opened: Sep 2, 2026, 6:56 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Spider-Man: Brand New Day** has demonstrated exceptional staying power through its fifth weekend, holding the top spot with a $22.5 million gross on Aug. 28-30 after a string of strong holds (-60%, -51%, -45%, -42%). This performance stems from robust word-of-mouth, a 90% critics score, and an 8.2 audience rating that have supported 2.5x legs so far on a $225 million budget. With domestic totals nearing $894 million and theater counts down to roughly 3,678, the sixth weekend (Sep. 4-6) hinges on whether the film sustains a 35-45% drop amid typical late-summer erosion or benefits from minimal counterprogramming. Traders see the outcome split evenly across the provided ranges because small variations in daily tracking or hold percentage could push results anywhere from under $11 million to $15 million-plus, reflecting the inherent volatility in superhero legs this deep into release.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions