Argentina’s monthly inflation has continued its downward trajectory under President Javier Milei’s tight monetary and fiscal policies, with the August 2026 print easing to 1.7% month-over-month—the lowest level in 14 months—from 2.1% in July, while the year-over-year rate declined to 33.5%. This momentum, supported by a stable peso, moderating core pressures at 1.8%, and favorable seasonal factors, has positioned the 1.9–2.1% and 1.6–1.8% ranges nearly neck-and-neck in trader pricing. Key swing factors for September include potential adjustments in regulated utilities and housing, food price volatility, and the persistence of underlying disinflation, with consensus forecasts centering near 2.0% ahead of the mid-October release. Markets price these probabilities as aggregated real-capital sentiment rather than certainties.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedArgentina Monthly Inflation - September
Argentina Monthly Inflation - September
1.9 to 2.1% 45%
1.6 to 1.8% 43%
2.2 to 2.4% 5.3%
1.0 to 1.2% 5.3%
NEW
NEW
Oct 13, 2026
≤0.9%
<1%
1.0 to 1.2%
5%
1.3 to 1.5%
4%
1.6 to 1.8%
43%
1.9 to 2.1%
45%
2.2 to 2.4%
5%
2.5 to 2.7%
<1%
2.8%+
<1%
1.9 to 2.1% 45%
1.6 to 1.8% 43%
2.2 to 2.4% 5.3%
1.0 to 1.2% 5.3%
NEW
NEW
Oct 13, 2026
≤0.9%
$339 Vol.
<1%
1.0 to 1.2%
$324 Vol.
5%
1.3 to 1.5%
$307 Vol.
4%
1.6 to 1.8%
$437 Vol.
43%
1.9 to 2.1%
$2,711 Vol.
45%
2.2 to 2.4%
$387 Vol.
5%
2.5 to 2.7%
$325 Vol.
<1%
2.8%+
$339 Vol.
<1%
This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in Argentina's Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in September 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026, currently scheduled to be released on October 13, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://www.indec.gob.ar/indec/web/Nivel4-Tema-3-5-31. The relevant figure is the one listed in the report under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: This market's resolution source reports the monthly percentage change in the Argentine Consumer Price Index to one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.indec.gob.ar/indec/web/Calendario-Fecha-0Argentina’s monthly inflation has continued its downward trajectory under President Javier Milei’s tight monetary and fiscal policies, with the August 2026 print easing to 1.7% month-over-month—the lowest level in 14 months—from 2.1% in July, while the year-over-year rate declined to 33.5%. This momentum, supported by a stable peso, moderating core pressures at 1.8%, and favorable seasonal factors, has positioned the 1.9–2.1% and 1.6–1.8% ranges nearly neck-and-neck in trader pricing. Key swing factors for September include potential adjustments in regulated utilities and housing, food price volatility, and the persistence of underlying disinflation, with consensus forecasts centering near 2.0% ahead of the mid-October release. Markets price these probabilities as aggregated real-capital sentiment rather than certainties.
This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in Argentina's Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in September 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026, currently scheduled to be released on October 13, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://www.indec.gob.ar/indec/web/Nivel4-Tema-3-5-31. The relevant figure is the one listed in the report under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: This market's resolution source reports the monthly percentage change in the Argentine Consumer Price Index to one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.indec.gob.ar/indec/web/Calendario-Fecha-0
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in Argentina's Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in September 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026, currently scheduled to be released on October 13, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://www.indec.gob.ar/indec/web/Nivel4-Tema-3-5-31. The relevant figure is the one listed in the report under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: This market's resolution source reports the monthly percentage change in the Argentine Consumer Price Index to one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.indec.gob.ar/indec/web/Calendario-Fecha-0
Market Opened: Sep 11, 2026, 11:30 AM ET
Volume
$5,170End Date
Oct 13, 2026Market Opened
Sep 11, 2026, 11:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.indec.gob.ar/indec/web/Nivel4-Tema-3-5-31Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in Argentina's Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in September 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026, currently scheduled to be released on October 13, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://www.indec.gob.ar/indec/web/Nivel4-Tema-3-5-31. The relevant figure is the one listed in the report under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: This market's resolution source reports the monthly percentage change in the Argentine Consumer Price Index to one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.indec.gob.ar/indec/web/Calendario-Fecha-0Argentina’s monthly inflation has continued its downward trajectory under President Javier Milei’s tight monetary and fiscal policies, with the August 2026 print easing to 1.7% month-over-month—the lowest level in 14 months—from 2.1% in July, while the year-over-year rate declined to 33.5%. This momentum, supported by a stable peso, moderating core pressures at 1.8%, and favorable seasonal factors, has positioned the 1.9–2.1% and 1.6–1.8% ranges nearly neck-and-neck in trader pricing. Key swing factors for September include potential adjustments in regulated utilities and housing, food price volatility, and the persistence of underlying disinflation, with consensus forecasts centering near 2.0% ahead of the mid-October release. Markets price these probabilities as aggregated real-capital sentiment rather than certainties.
This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in Argentina's Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in September 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026, currently scheduled to be released on October 13, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://www.indec.gob.ar/indec/web/Nivel4-Tema-3-5-31. The relevant figure is the one listed in the report under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: This market's resolution source reports the monthly percentage change in the Argentine Consumer Price Index to one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.indec.gob.ar/indec/web/Calendario-Fecha-0
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in Argentina's Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in September 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026, currently scheduled to be released on October 13, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://www.indec.gob.ar/indec/web/Nivel4-Tema-3-5-31. The relevant figure is the one listed in the report under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: This market's resolution source reports the monthly percentage change in the Argentine Consumer Price Index to one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.indec.gob.ar/indec/web/Calendario-Fecha-0
Volume
$5,170End Date
Oct 13, 2026Market Opened
Sep 11, 2026, 11:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.indec.gob.ar/indec/web/Nivel4-Tema-3-5-31Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Argentina’s monthly inflation has continued its downward trajectory under President Javier Milei’s tight monetary and fiscal policies, with the August 2026 print easing to 1.7% month-over-month—the lowest level in 14 months—from 2.1% in July, while the year-over-year rate declined to 33.5%. This momentum, supported by a stable peso, moderating core pressures at 1.8%, and favorable seasonal factors, has positioned the 1.9–2.1% and 1.6–1.8% ranges nearly neck-and-neck in trader pricing. Key swing factors for September include potential adjustments in regulated utilities and housing, food price volatility, and the persistence of underlying disinflation, with consensus forecasts centering near 2.0% ahead of the mid-October release. Markets price these probabilities as aggregated real-capital sentiment rather than certainties.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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