Retail egg prices have stabilized near $2.27 per dozen in August 2026 per Bureau of Labor Statistics data, up modestly from $2.19 in July amid ongoing flock recovery following 2025 avian influenza losses. This positions the $2.20–$2.30 range as the leading outcome with 39.5% market-implied probability, as wholesale benchmarks around 36 cents per dozen reflect ample supply that has outpaced demand absorption. Persistent input costs for feed, fuel, and labor continue to support a floor, while isolated June detections of highly pathogenic avian influenza introduce limited upside risk without triggering widespread culls. Traders are weighting the closely watched September BLS release and any further supply adjustments ahead of typical seasonal patterns.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$2.20 to $2.30 40%
$2.10 to $2.20 22%
$2.30 to $2.40 22%
$2.40 to $2.50 8%
<$1.90
3%
$1.90 to $2.00
3%
$2.00 to $2.10
5%
$2.10 to $2.20
22%
$2.20 to $2.30
40%
$2.30 to $2.40
22%
$2.40 to $2.50
8%
$2.50 to $2.60
3%
$2.60 to $2.70
5%
≥$2.70
4%
$2.20 to $2.30 40%
$2.10 to $2.20 22%
$2.30 to $2.40 22%
$2.40 to $2.50 8%
<$1.90
3%
$1.90 to $2.00
3%
$2.00 to $2.10
5%
$2.10 to $2.20
22%
$2.20 to $2.30
40%
$2.30 to $2.40
22%
$2.40 to $2.50
8%
$2.50 to $2.60
3%
$2.60 to $2.70
5%
≥$2.70
4%
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for egg prices on the BLS's CPI release. The September release is presently scheduled for October 14, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon the update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Market Opened: Sep 11, 2026, 11:29 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for egg prices on the BLS's CPI release. The September release is presently scheduled for October 14, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon the update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Retail egg prices have stabilized near $2.27 per dozen in August 2026 per Bureau of Labor Statistics data, up modestly from $2.19 in July amid ongoing flock recovery following 2025 avian influenza losses. This positions the $2.20–$2.30 range as the leading outcome with 39.5% market-implied probability, as wholesale benchmarks around 36 cents per dozen reflect ample supply that has outpaced demand absorption. Persistent input costs for feed, fuel, and labor continue to support a floor, while isolated June detections of highly pathogenic avian influenza introduce limited upside risk without triggering widespread culls. Traders are weighting the closely watched September BLS release and any further supply adjustments ahead of typical seasonal patterns.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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