Recent Argentine inflation data show the annual rate at 33.8% in July 2026, following 33.5% in June, with monthly readings stabilizing near 2% amid persistent inertia and relative price adjustments. Analyst surveys from early August place end-2026 consensus near 29.8%, down modestly from prior estimates, reflecting continued fiscal surplus, tight monetary policy, and a crawling exchange-rate band under the Milei administration that has lowered inflation from over 200% in 2023. The tight split between the 30–34.9% and 25–29.9% buckets captures uncertainty over whether monthly disinflation can accelerate enough to reach the lower band or whether wage pressures, utility costs, and external shocks will keep the outcome near current levels, with limited probability mass on outcomes above 35% or below 25%.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated30.0-34.9% 51.4%
25-29.9% 44%
45%+ 1.9%
<20% 1.7%
$41,105 Vol.
$41,105 Vol.
Jan 10, 2027
<20%
2%
20-24.9%
2%
25-29.9%
44%
30.0-34.9%
51%
35–39.9%
<1%
40-44.9%
1%
45%+
2%
30.0-34.9% 51.4%
25-29.9% 44%
45%+ 1.9%
<20% 1.7%
$41,105 Vol.
$41,105 Vol.
Jan 10, 2027
<20%
$4,648 Vol.
2%
20-24.9%
$3,216 Vol.
2%
25-29.9%
$12,331 Vol.
44%
30.0-34.9%
$10,592 Vol.
51%
35–39.9%
$3,367 Vol.
<1%
40-44.9%
$3,511 Vol.
1%
45%+
$3,439 Vol.
2%
This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent Argentine inflation data show the annual rate at 33.8% in July 2026, following 33.5% in June, with monthly readings stabilizing near 2% amid persistent inertia and relative price adjustments. Analyst surveys from early August place end-2026 consensus near 29.8%, down modestly from prior estimates, reflecting continued fiscal surplus, tight monetary policy, and a crawling exchange-rate band under the Milei administration that has lowered inflation from over 200% in 2023. The tight split between the 30–34.9% and 25–29.9% buckets captures uncertainty over whether monthly disinflation can accelerate enough to reach the lower band or whether wage pressures, utility costs, and external shocks will keep the outcome near current levels, with limited probability mass on outcomes above 35% or below 25%.
This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Market Opened: Jan 21, 2026, 7:15 AM ET
Volume
$41,105End Date
Jan 10, 2027Market Opened
Jan 21, 2026, 7:15 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent Argentine inflation data show the annual rate at 33.8% in July 2026, following 33.5% in June, with monthly readings stabilizing near 2% amid persistent inertia and relative price adjustments. Analyst surveys from early August place end-2026 consensus near 29.8%, down modestly from prior estimates, reflecting continued fiscal surplus, tight monetary policy, and a crawling exchange-rate band under the Milei administration that has lowered inflation from over 200% in 2023. The tight split between the 30–34.9% and 25–29.9% buckets captures uncertainty over whether monthly disinflation can accelerate enough to reach the lower band or whether wage pressures, utility costs, and external shocks will keep the outcome near current levels, with limited probability mass on outcomes above 35% or below 25%.
This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$41,105End Date
Jan 10, 2027Market Opened
Jan 21, 2026, 7:15 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent Argentine inflation data show the annual rate at 33.8% in July 2026, following 33.5% in June, with monthly readings stabilizing near 2% amid persistent inertia and relative price adjustments. Analyst surveys from early August place end-2026 consensus near 29.8%, down modestly from prior estimates, reflecting continued fiscal surplus, tight monetary policy, and a crawling exchange-rate band under the Milei administration that has lowered inflation from over 200% in 2023. The tight split between the 30–34.9% and 25–29.9% buckets captures uncertainty over whether monthly disinflation can accelerate enough to reach the lower band or whether wage pressures, utility costs, and external shocks will keep the outcome near current levels, with limited probability mass on outcomes above 35% or below 25%.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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