**Russia's State Duma elections are set for 18–20 September 2026.** Regional authorities have received instructions to target roughly 50% turnout, aligning with Kremlin adjustments that lowered United Russia vote-share goals while holding the participation target steady. State pollster VTsIOM reports 66% of respondents intend to vote, though independent surveys show limited public awareness of the date. Expanded remote electronic voting across about half the regions, multi-day balloting, early and at-home options, and mobilization of public-sector employees and students are expected to support mid-50% figures. Voting in occupied Ukrainian territories includes separate single-mandate districts and similar administrative efforts to reach higher participation levels. These factors concentrate trader consensus on the 50–56% range.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedRussia Parliamentary Election: Turnout
50-53% 38%
53-56% 20.6%
62%+ 11.4%
56-59% 10.4%
$38,241 Vol.
$38,241 Vol.
<47%
10%
47-50%
8%
50-53%
38%
53-56%
21%
56-59%
10%
59-62%
10%
62%+
11%
50-53% 38%
53-56% 20.6%
62%+ 11.4%
56-59% 10.4%
$38,241 Vol.
$38,241 Vol.
<47%
10%
47-50%
8%
50-53%
38%
53-56%
21%
56-59%
10%
59-62%
10%
62%+
11%
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.
Market Opened: Apr 21, 2026, 3:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Russia's State Duma elections are set for 18–20 September 2026.** Regional authorities have received instructions to target roughly 50% turnout, aligning with Kremlin adjustments that lowered United Russia vote-share goals while holding the participation target steady. State pollster VTsIOM reports 66% of respondents intend to vote, though independent surveys show limited public awareness of the date. Expanded remote electronic voting across about half the regions, multi-day balloting, early and at-home options, and mobilization of public-sector employees and students are expected to support mid-50% figures. Voting in occupied Ukrainian territories includes separate single-mandate districts and similar administrative efforts to reach higher participation levels. These factors concentrate trader consensus on the 50–56% range.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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