The Odyssey leads trader sentiment at 49% implied probability thanks to strong early Academy screenings that have generated enthusiastic voter reactions, positioning Christopher Nolan’s IMAX-shot epic as the frontrunner following its commercial success and his recent Oppenheimer momentum. Dune: Part Three sits at 13.5% as the primary challenger despite its December 2026 release, while Wild Horse Nine, Digger, Project Hail Mary, and Fjord occupy the next tier amid a wide-open field. With the fall festival circuit still ahead and most 2026 releases untested by critics or guilds, the race remains fluid, hinging on precursor results and late-year critical reception that could consolidate or upend current consensus.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedOscars 2027: Best Picture Winner
Oscars 2027: Best Picture Winner
The Odyssey 49%
Dune: Part Three 14%
Wild Horse Nine 10%
Digger 8%
$80,516 Vol.
$80,516 Vol.
Mar 14, 2027
The Odyssey
49%
Dune: Part Three
14%
Wild Horse Nine
10%
Digger
8%
Fjord
6%
Project Hail Mary
5%
Behemoth!
4%
Josephine
4%
The Adventures of Cliff Booth
3%
Saturn Return
3%
The Social Reckoning
2%
Disclosure Day
2%
Avengers: Doomsday
2%
Michael
1%
Clarissa
1%
Tony
1%
Fatherland
1%
All of a Sudden
1%
The Drama
1%
The Odyssey 49%
Dune: Part Three 14%
Wild Horse Nine 10%
Digger 8%
$80,516 Vol.
$80,516 Vol.
Mar 14, 2027
The Odyssey
$61,804 Vol.
49%
Dune: Part Three
$5,840 Vol.
14%
Wild Horse Nine
$2,870 Vol.
10%
Digger
$3,076 Vol.
8%
Fjord
$2,700 Vol.
6%
Project Hail Mary
$1,636 Vol.
5%
Behemoth!
$2,070 Vol.
4%
Josephine
$100 Vol.
4%
The Adventures of Cliff Booth
$50 Vol.
3%
Saturn Return
$25 Vol.
3%
The Social Reckoning
$25 Vol.
2%
Disclosure Day
$50 Vol.
2%
Avengers: Doomsday
$55 Vol.
2%
Michael
$90 Vol.
1%
Clarissa
$25 Vol.
1%
Tony
$25 Vol.
1%
Fatherland
$25 Vol.
1%
All of a Sudden
$25 Vol.
1%
The Drama
$25 Vol.
1%
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Odyssey leads trader sentiment at 49% implied probability thanks to strong early Academy screenings that have generated enthusiastic voter reactions, positioning Christopher Nolan’s IMAX-shot epic as the frontrunner following its commercial success and his recent Oppenheimer momentum. Dune: Part Three sits at 13.5% as the primary challenger despite its December 2026 release, while Wild Horse Nine, Digger, Project Hail Mary, and Fjord occupy the next tier amid a wide-open field. With the fall festival circuit still ahead and most 2026 releases untested by critics or guilds, the race remains fluid, hinging on precursor results and late-year critical reception that could consolidate or upend current consensus.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 27, 2026, 11:03 PM ET
Volume
$80,516End Date
Mar 14, 2027Market Opened
Jul 27, 2026, 11:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Odyssey leads trader sentiment at 49% implied probability thanks to strong early Academy screenings that have generated enthusiastic voter reactions, positioning Christopher Nolan’s IMAX-shot epic as the frontrunner following its commercial success and his recent Oppenheimer momentum. Dune: Part Three sits at 13.5% as the primary challenger despite its December 2026 release, while Wild Horse Nine, Digger, Project Hail Mary, and Fjord occupy the next tier amid a wide-open field. With the fall festival circuit still ahead and most 2026 releases untested by critics or guilds, the race remains fluid, hinging on precursor results and late-year critical reception that could consolidate or upend current consensus.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$80,516End Date
Mar 14, 2027Market Opened
Jul 27, 2026, 11:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Odyssey leads trader sentiment at 49% implied probability thanks to strong early Academy screenings that have generated enthusiastic voter reactions, positioning Christopher Nolan’s IMAX-shot epic as the frontrunner following its commercial success and his recent Oppenheimer momentum. Dune: Part Three sits at 13.5% as the primary challenger despite its December 2026 release, while Wild Horse Nine, Digger, Project Hail Mary, and Fjord occupy the next tier amid a wide-open field. With the fall festival circuit still ahead and most 2026 releases untested by critics or guilds, the race remains fluid, hinging on precursor results and late-year critical reception that could consolidate or upend current consensus.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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