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Politics·Global Elections

Next Prime Minister of Serbia?

icon for Next Prime Minister of Serbia?
Politics·Global Elections

Next Prime Minister of Serbia?

Aleksandar Vučić 65%

Stefan Krkobabić 11.2%

Branimir Jovanović 7.2%

Miloš Vučević 7.0%

Polymarket

$34,540 Vol.

Aleksandar Vučić 65%

Stefan Krkobabić 11.2%

Branimir Jovanović 7.2%

Miloš Vučević 7.0%

Polymarket

$34,540 Vol.

icon for Aleksandar Vučić

Aleksandar Vučić

$17,647 Vol.

65%

icon for Stefan Krkobabić

Stefan Krkobabić

$896 Vol.

6%

icon for Branimir Jovanović

Branimir Jovanović

$1,025 Vol.

7%

icon for Miloš Vučević

Miloš Vučević

$2,895 Vol.

7%

icon for Ana Brnabić

Ana Brnabić

$9,339 Vol.

5%

icon for Dragan Đilas

Dragan Đilas

$839 Vol.

5%

icon for Ivica Dačić

Ivica Dačić

$750 Vol.

4%

icon for Đuro Macut

Đuro Macut

$703 Vol.

1%

icon for Vladan Đokić

Vladan Đokić

$446 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Serbia by June 30, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be elected by the National Assembly and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who is not elected by the National Assembly will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by June 30, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the Serbian government.President Aleksandar Vučić’s June 2026 announcement that he will resign the presidency within weeks and that early parliamentary elections will occur in the next three to four months has positioned him as the clear frontrunner in the next prime minister market. Serbia’s constitution bars him from another presidential term, making the premiership the logical next step for retaining executive influence through his Serbian Progressive Party. Ongoing student-led protests since late 2024, which prompted prior prime ministerial changes including the April 2025 appointment of Đuro Macut, have accelerated this timeline. Lower odds for figures such as Miloš Vučević, Ana Brnabić, and Ivica Dačić reflect the dominance of Vučić’s party machinery and the uncertainty surrounding any post-election coalition dynamics or opposition gains.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Serbia by June 30, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.

To count for resolution, the individual must be elected by the National Assembly and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who is not elected by the National Assembly will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister takes office by June 30, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the Serbian government.
Volume
$34,540
End Date
Jun 30, 2028
Market Opened
Jul 1, 2026, 11:54 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Serbia by June 30, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be elected by the National Assembly and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who is not elected by the National Assembly will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by June 30, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the Serbian government.
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Serbia by June 30, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be elected by the National Assembly and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who is not elected by the National Assembly will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by June 30, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the Serbian government.President Aleksandar Vučić’s June 2026 announcement that he will resign the presidency within weeks and that early parliamentary elections will occur in the next three to four months has positioned him as the clear frontrunner in the next prime minister market. Serbia’s constitution bars him from another presidential term, making the premiership the logical next step for retaining executive influence through his Serbian Progressive Party. Ongoing student-led protests since late 2024, which prompted prior prime ministerial changes including the April 2025 appointment of Đuro Macut, have accelerated this timeline. Lower odds for figures such as Miloš Vučević, Ana Brnabić, and Ivica Dačić reflect the dominance of Vučić’s party machinery and the uncertainty surrounding any post-election coalition dynamics or opposition gains.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Serbia by June 30, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.

To count for resolution, the individual must be elected by the National Assembly and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who is not elected by the National Assembly will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister takes office by June 30, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the Serbian government.
Volume
$34,540
End Date
Jun 30, 2028
Market Opened
Jul 1, 2026, 11:54 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Serbia by June 30, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be elected by the National Assembly and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who is not elected by the National Assembly will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by June 30, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the Serbian government.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Next Prime Minister of Serbia?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Aleksandar Vučić" at 65%, followed by "Branimir Jovanović" at 7%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 65¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 65% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Next Prime Minister of Serbia?" has generated $34.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 1, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Next Prime Minister of Serbia?," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Next Prime Minister of Serbia?" is "Aleksandar Vučić" at 65%, meaning the market assigns a 65% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Branimir Jovanović" at 7%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Next Prime Minister of Serbia?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.