Forecast models for Shenzhen on August 22 indicate overnight lows centered near 26–27°C amid typical late-summer subtropical conditions, with highs around 31–33°C and scattered showers or isolated thunderstorms possible. High humidity (70–80%) and cloud cover limit nocturnal radiative cooling, supporting the market’s leading outcomes at 26°C (30%) and 27°C (34.5%). Variable steering patterns and precipitation timing create the tight spread through 25°C and 28°C, as clearer intervals could allow slightly greater cooling while persistent overcast or rain maintains higher minima. These align with August climatology showing average lows of 26–27°C and explain why lower-probability outcomes below 25°C or above 28°C remain subdued. Updated numerical guidance and any late-day convective development will refine the final reading.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Shenzhen on August 22?
Lowest temperature in Shenzhen on August 22?
27°C 36%
30°C 36%
26°C 30%
25°C 28%
NEW
NEW
Aug 22, 2026
23°C or below
2%
24°C
4%
25°C
28%
26°C
30%
27°C
36%
28°C
25%
29°C
4%
30°C
36%
31°C
4%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
1%
27°C 36%
30°C 36%
26°C 30%
25°C 28%
NEW
NEW
Aug 22, 2026
23°C or below
$28 Vol.
2%
24°C
$42 Vol.
4%
25°C
$0 Vol.
28%
26°C
$0 Vol.
30%
27°C
$0 Vol.
36%
28°C
$0 Vol.
25%
29°C
$67 Vol.
4%
30°C
$39 Vol.
36%
31°C
$50 Vol.
4%
32°C
$105 Vol.
1%
33°C or higher
$110 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models for Shenzhen on August 22 indicate overnight lows centered near 26–27°C amid typical late-summer subtropical conditions, with highs around 31–33°C and scattered showers or isolated thunderstorms possible. High humidity (70–80%) and cloud cover limit nocturnal radiative cooling, supporting the market’s leading outcomes at 26°C (30%) and 27°C (34.5%). Variable steering patterns and precipitation timing create the tight spread through 25°C and 28°C, as clearer intervals could allow slightly greater cooling while persistent overcast or rain maintains higher minima. These align with August climatology showing average lows of 26–27°C and explain why lower-probability outcomes below 25°C or above 28°C remain subdued. Updated numerical guidance and any late-day convective development will refine the final reading.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 20, 2026, 1:32 PM ET
Volume
$441End Date
Aug 22, 2026Market Opened
Aug 20, 2026, 1:32 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models for Shenzhen on August 22 indicate overnight lows centered near 26–27°C amid typical late-summer subtropical conditions, with highs around 31–33°C and scattered showers or isolated thunderstorms possible. High humidity (70–80%) and cloud cover limit nocturnal radiative cooling, supporting the market’s leading outcomes at 26°C (30%) and 27°C (34.5%). Variable steering patterns and precipitation timing create the tight spread through 25°C and 28°C, as clearer intervals could allow slightly greater cooling while persistent overcast or rain maintains higher minima. These align with August climatology showing average lows of 26–27°C and explain why lower-probability outcomes below 25°C or above 28°C remain subdued. Updated numerical guidance and any late-day convective development will refine the final reading.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$441End Date
Aug 22, 2026Market Opened
Aug 20, 2026, 1:32 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models for Shenzhen on August 22 indicate overnight lows centered near 26–27°C amid typical late-summer subtropical conditions, with highs around 31–33°C and scattered showers or isolated thunderstorms possible. High humidity (70–80%) and cloud cover limit nocturnal radiative cooling, supporting the market’s leading outcomes at 26°C (30%) and 27°C (34.5%). Variable steering patterns and precipitation timing create the tight spread through 25°C and 28°C, as clearer intervals could allow slightly greater cooling while persistent overcast or rain maintains higher minima. These align with August climatology showing average lows of 26–27°C and explain why lower-probability outcomes below 25°C or above 28°C remain subdued. Updated numerical guidance and any late-day convective development will refine the final reading.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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