Current ensemble forecasts from the Shenzhen Meteorological Observatory and regional models indicate a daytime maximum of 31–33 °C on August 22, driven by subtropical monsoon flow, moderate high pressure, and scattered afternoon convection that caps insolation under high humidity. Official observations through August 21 have remained near these levels, consistent with mid-August climatology showing limited exceedance without stronger synoptic forcing. Trader consensus clusters on 32 °C as the modal outcome, with nearby brackets reflecting model spread and potential for localized thunderstorm suppression or brief clear-sky heating. Resolution depends on the official station daily maximum, with new model runs and surface observations expected to refine probabilities ahead of the close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Shenzhen on August 22?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on August 22?
32°C 37%
31°C 24%
30°C 20%
33°C 16%
NEW
NEW
Aug 22, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
4%
30°C
20%
31°C
24%
32°C
37%
33°C
16%
34°C
6%
35°C or higher
1%
32°C 37%
31°C 24%
30°C 20%
33°C 16%
NEW
NEW
Aug 22, 2026
25°C or below
$572 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$600 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$597 Vol.
1%
28°C
$205 Vol.
1%
29°C
$630 Vol.
4%
30°C
$2,192 Vol.
20%
31°C
$737 Vol.
24%
32°C
$494 Vol.
37%
33°C
$264 Vol.
16%
34°C
$329 Vol.
6%
35°C or higher
$556 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from the Shenzhen Meteorological Observatory and regional models indicate a daytime maximum of 31–33 °C on August 22, driven by subtropical monsoon flow, moderate high pressure, and scattered afternoon convection that caps insolation under high humidity. Official observations through August 21 have remained near these levels, consistent with mid-August climatology showing limited exceedance without stronger synoptic forcing. Trader consensus clusters on 32 °C as the modal outcome, with nearby brackets reflecting model spread and potential for localized thunderstorm suppression or brief clear-sky heating. Resolution depends on the official station daily maximum, with new model runs and surface observations expected to refine probabilities ahead of the close.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$7,177End Date
Aug 22, 2026Market Opened
Aug 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from the Shenzhen Meteorological Observatory and regional models indicate a daytime maximum of 31–33 °C on August 22, driven by subtropical monsoon flow, moderate high pressure, and scattered afternoon convection that caps insolation under high humidity. Official observations through August 21 have remained near these levels, consistent with mid-August climatology showing limited exceedance without stronger synoptic forcing. Trader consensus clusters on 32 °C as the modal outcome, with nearby brackets reflecting model spread and potential for localized thunderstorm suppression or brief clear-sky heating. Resolution depends on the official station daily maximum, with new model runs and surface observations expected to refine probabilities ahead of the close.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7,177End Date
Aug 22, 2026Market Opened
Aug 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from the Shenzhen Meteorological Observatory and regional models indicate a daytime maximum of 31–33 °C on August 22, driven by subtropical monsoon flow, moderate high pressure, and scattered afternoon convection that caps insolation under high humidity. Official observations through August 21 have remained near these levels, consistent with mid-August climatology showing limited exceedance without stronger synoptic forcing. Trader consensus clusters on 32 °C as the modal outcome, with nearby brackets reflecting model spread and potential for localized thunderstorm suppression or brief clear-sky heating. Resolution depends on the official station daily maximum, with new model runs and surface observations expected to refine probabilities ahead of the close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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