Amir Ohana leads the Likud primary market at 62.5% as recent member surveys and mock votes at the Likud conference show him topping registered party activists with around 73% support, ahead of figures like Tally Gotliv. The August 17 primary for the Knesset candidate list has been shaped by ongoing disputes over Netanyahu’s push for reserved slots and committee selection, countered by court rulings preserving member voting. Gotliv draws stronger base backing at 17.8% but faces perceptions of narrower appeal among moderate voters, while lower-priced contenders such as Yariv Levin reflect limited recent polling momentum. The imminent vote and Netanyahu’s influence on final slate composition keep trader focus on these internal dynamics ahead of the October election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedAmir Ohana 63%
Tally Gotliv 10.8%
Yariv Levin 7.1%
Eli Cohen 5.8%
$53,116 Vol.
$53,116 Vol.
Oct 26, 2026
Amir Ohana
63%
Tally Gotliv
11%
Yariv Levin
7%
Eli Cohen
6%
No Primary by Knesset Election
4%
Moshe Saada
2%
Boaz Bismuth
1%
David Bitan
1%
Almog Cohen
1%
Shlomo Karhi
1%
Israel Katz
1%
David Amsalem
1%
Amichai Chikli
1%
Yoav Kisch
1%
Miki Zohar
1%
Miri Regev
<1%
Nir Barkat
<1%
Amir Ohana 63%
Tally Gotliv 10.8%
Yariv Levin 7.1%
Eli Cohen 5.8%
$53,116 Vol.
$53,116 Vol.
Oct 26, 2026
Amir Ohana
$18,575 Vol.
63%
Tally Gotliv
$8,524 Vol.
11%
Yariv Levin
$3,693 Vol.
7%
Eli Cohen
$1,316 Vol.
6%
No Primary by Knesset Election
$9,585 Vol.
4%
Moshe Saada
$757 Vol.
2%
Boaz Bismuth
$1,017 Vol.
1%
David Bitan
$727 Vol.
1%
Almog Cohen
$784 Vol.
1%
Shlomo Karhi
$891 Vol.
1%
Israel Katz
$2,120 Vol.
1%
David Amsalem
$707 Vol.
1%
Amichai Chikli
$785 Vol.
1%
Yoav Kisch
$716 Vol.
1%
Miki Zohar
$559 Vol.
1%
Miri Regev
$536 Vol.
<1%
Nir Barkat
$2,055 Vol.
<1%
Primary elections for the Likud Party of Israel are expected to be held in 2026 to determine the composition of the Likud party list that will contest the 2026 Knesset elections. It is expected that the winner of the Likud party primary elections will occupy second place on the Likud party list, after the party leader.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Likud primary elections.
If no Likud primary election occurs by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, regardless of whether a party list is released, this market will resolve to “No Primary by Knesset Election”. An official announcement of cancellation of the primary is not sufficient for this market to resolve to "No Primary by Knesset Election".
If the primary election takes place and election results are not known definitively by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to the individual that occupies the second place on the Likud party list to contest the 2026 Knesset elections. If no such party list is released by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from Likud.Amir Ohana leads the Likud primary market at 62.5% as recent member surveys and mock votes at the Likud conference show him topping registered party activists with around 73% support, ahead of figures like Tally Gotliv. The August 17 primary for the Knesset candidate list has been shaped by ongoing disputes over Netanyahu’s push for reserved slots and committee selection, countered by court rulings preserving member voting. Gotliv draws stronger base backing at 17.8% but faces perceptions of narrower appeal among moderate voters, while lower-priced contenders such as Yariv Levin reflect limited recent polling momentum. The imminent vote and Netanyahu’s influence on final slate composition keep trader focus on these internal dynamics ahead of the October election.
Primary elections for the Likud Party of Israel are expected to be held in 2026 to determine the composition of the Likud party list that will contest the 2026 Knesset elections. It is expected that the winner of the Likud party primary elections will occupy second place on the Likud party list, after the party leader.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Likud primary elections.
If no Likud primary election occurs by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, regardless of whether a party list is released, this market will resolve to “No Primary by Knesset Election”. An official announcement of cancellation of the primary is not sufficient for this market to resolve to "No Primary by Knesset Election".
If the primary election takes place and election results are not known definitively by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to the individual that occupies the second place on the Likud party list to contest the 2026 Knesset elections. If no such party list is released by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from Likud.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Likud primary elections.
If no Likud primary election occurs by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, regardless of whether a party list is released, this market will resolve to “No Primary by Knesset Election”. An official announcement of cancellation of the primary is not sufficient for this market to resolve to "No Primary by Knesset Election".
If the primary election takes place and election results are not known definitively by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to the individual that occupies the second place on the Likud party list to contest the 2026 Knesset elections. If no such party list is released by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from Likud.
Market Opened: Jul 21, 2026, 7:34 PM ET
Volume
$53,116End Date
Oct 26, 2026Market Opened
Jul 21, 2026, 7:34 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Primary elections for the Likud Party of Israel are expected to be held in 2026 to determine the composition of the Likud party list that will contest the 2026 Knesset elections. It is expected that the winner of the Likud party primary elections will occupy second place on the Likud party list, after the party leader.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Likud primary elections.
If no Likud primary election occurs by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, regardless of whether a party list is released, this market will resolve to “No Primary by Knesset Election”. An official announcement of cancellation of the primary is not sufficient for this market to resolve to "No Primary by Knesset Election".
If the primary election takes place and election results are not known definitively by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to the individual that occupies the second place on the Likud party list to contest the 2026 Knesset elections. If no such party list is released by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from Likud.Amir Ohana leads the Likud primary market at 62.5% as recent member surveys and mock votes at the Likud conference show him topping registered party activists with around 73% support, ahead of figures like Tally Gotliv. The August 17 primary for the Knesset candidate list has been shaped by ongoing disputes over Netanyahu’s push for reserved slots and committee selection, countered by court rulings preserving member voting. Gotliv draws stronger base backing at 17.8% but faces perceptions of narrower appeal among moderate voters, while lower-priced contenders such as Yariv Levin reflect limited recent polling momentum. The imminent vote and Netanyahu’s influence on final slate composition keep trader focus on these internal dynamics ahead of the October election.
Primary elections for the Likud Party of Israel are expected to be held in 2026 to determine the composition of the Likud party list that will contest the 2026 Knesset elections. It is expected that the winner of the Likud party primary elections will occupy second place on the Likud party list, after the party leader.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Likud primary elections.
If no Likud primary election occurs by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, regardless of whether a party list is released, this market will resolve to “No Primary by Knesset Election”. An official announcement of cancellation of the primary is not sufficient for this market to resolve to "No Primary by Knesset Election".
If the primary election takes place and election results are not known definitively by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to the individual that occupies the second place on the Likud party list to contest the 2026 Knesset elections. If no such party list is released by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from Likud.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Likud primary elections.
If no Likud primary election occurs by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, regardless of whether a party list is released, this market will resolve to “No Primary by Knesset Election”. An official announcement of cancellation of the primary is not sufficient for this market to resolve to "No Primary by Knesset Election".
If the primary election takes place and election results are not known definitively by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to the individual that occupies the second place on the Likud party list to contest the 2026 Knesset elections. If no such party list is released by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from Likud.
Volume
$53,116End Date
Oct 26, 2026Market Opened
Jul 21, 2026, 7:34 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Amir Ohana leads the Likud primary market at 62.5% as recent member surveys and mock votes at the Likud conference show him topping registered party activists with around 73% support, ahead of figures like Tally Gotliv. The August 17 primary for the Knesset candidate list has been shaped by ongoing disputes over Netanyahu’s push for reserved slots and committee selection, countered by court rulings preserving member voting. Gotliv draws stronger base backing at 17.8% but faces perceptions of narrower appeal among moderate voters, while lower-priced contenders such as Yariv Levin reflect limited recent polling momentum. The imminent vote and Netanyahu’s influence on final slate composition keep trader focus on these internal dynamics ahead of the October election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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