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Tech·Big Tech

Largest Company end of August?

icon for Largest Company end of August?
Tech·Big Tech

Largest Company end of August?

Aug 31

Sep 30

Dec 31

Aug 31

Sep 30

Dec 31

NVIDIA 96.5%

Apple 1.8%

Alphabet 1.6%

Microsoft <1%

Polymarket

$1,933,384 Vol.

NVIDIA 96.5%

Apple 1.8%

Alphabet 1.6%

Microsoft <1%

Polymarket

$1,933,384 Vol.

icon for NVIDIA

NVIDIA

$480,060 Vol.

97%

icon for Apple

Apple

$284,965 Vol.

2%

icon for Alphabet

Alphabet

$290,329 Vol.

2%

icon for Microsoft

Microsoft

$211,654 Vol.

<1%

icon for Amazon

Amazon

$237,174 Vol.

<1%

icon for Tesla

Tesla

$183,289 Vol.

<1%

icon for Saudi Aramco

Saudi Aramco

$121,637 Vol.

<1%

icon for Broadcom

Broadcom

$124,276 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.NVIDIA's commanding lead in AI semiconductor demand and sustained market cap dominance above $5.4 trillion underpin the 96.5% trader consensus that it will remain the world's largest company by end of August. Recent momentum from GPU sales and infrastructure buildout has kept it well ahead of Alphabet, Apple, and Microsoft despite brief July fluctuations when Apple briefly overtook it. With only two weeks until resolution and no major earnings or regulatory shifts imminent, the market-implied odds reflect strong skin-in-the-game conviction in NVIDIA's positioning. A sudden broad market rotation or outsized competitor gains could narrow the gap, but historical volatility patterns suggest limited realistic paths to overtake in this compressed timeframe.

This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31, 2026, as of market close.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,933,384
End Date
Aug 31, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 15, 2026, 9:00 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.NVIDIA's commanding lead in AI semiconductor demand and sustained market cap dominance above $5.4 trillion underpin the 96.5% trader consensus that it will remain the world's largest company by end of August. Recent momentum from GPU sales and infrastructure buildout has kept it well ahead of Alphabet, Apple, and Microsoft despite brief July fluctuations when Apple briefly overtook it. With only two weeks until resolution and no major earnings or regulatory shifts imminent, the market-implied odds reflect strong skin-in-the-game conviction in NVIDIA's positioning. A sudden broad market rotation or outsized competitor gains could narrow the gap, but historical volatility patterns suggest limited realistic paths to overtake in this compressed timeframe.

This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31, 2026, as of market close.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,933,384
End Date
Aug 31, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 15, 2026, 9:00 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Related

icon for Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?

90%
icon for Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?

Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?

86%
icon for Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?

Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?

83%

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Largest Company end of August?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "NVIDIA" at 97%, followed by "Apple" at 2%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 97¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 97% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Largest Company end of August?" has generated $1.9 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 15, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Largest Company end of August?," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Largest Company end of August?" is "NVIDIA" at 97%, meaning the market assigns a 97% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Apple" at 2%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Largest Company end of August?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.