**The market's overwhelming consensus on fewer than five posts by accounts tied to Iran's Supreme Leader reflects Mojtaba Khamenei's established low-profile approach to X since succeeding his father in March 2026.** He communicates primarily through occasional written statements read by state media rather than direct or frequent platform activity, consistent with historical patterns of measured, event-driven output from the office. Recent weeks have shown continued restraint, with media handles handling commemorative content around mid-August observances and no scheduled diplomatic, military, or policy milestones in the narrow window likely to trigger additional statements. Health-related speculation has prompted reassurances and archival releases but has not increased direct engagement. Scenarios that could realistically shift odds include an unforeseen escalation in regional tensions, a major official announcement, or a high-profile crisis requiring timely leadership messaging.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedKhamenei # posts August 25 - September 1, 2026?
Khamenei # posts August 25 - September 1, 2026?
<5 97.8%
5-9 2.9%
10-14 1.6%
15-19 <1%
$13,713 Vol.
$13,713 Vol.
Sep 1, 2026
<5
92%
5-9
3%
10-14
6%
15-19
1%
20-24
1%
25-29
<1%
30-34
<1%
35-39
<1%
40-44
<1%
45-49
<1%
50-54
<1%
55-59
<1%
60+
<1%
<5 97.8%
5-9 2.9%
10-14 1.6%
15-19 <1%
$13,713 Vol.
$13,713 Vol.
Sep 1, 2026
<5
$6,193 Vol.
92%
5-9
$869 Vol.
3%
10-14
$1,032 Vol.
6%
15-19
$725 Vol.
1%
20-24
$961 Vol.
1%
25-29
$660 Vol.
<1%
30-34
$670 Vol.
<1%
35-39
$464 Vol.
<1%
40-44
$527 Vol.
<1%
45-49
$589 Vol.
<1%
50-54
$616 Vol.
<1%
55-59
$624 Vol.
<1%
60+
$374 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 25, 12:00 PM ET and September 1, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**The market's overwhelming consensus on fewer than five posts by accounts tied to Iran's Supreme Leader reflects Mojtaba Khamenei's established low-profile approach to X since succeeding his father in March 2026.** He communicates primarily through occasional written statements read by state media rather than direct or frequent platform activity, consistent with historical patterns of measured, event-driven output from the office. Recent weeks have shown continued restraint, with media handles handling commemorative content around mid-August observances and no scheduled diplomatic, military, or policy milestones in the narrow window likely to trigger additional statements. Health-related speculation has prompted reassurances and archival releases but has not increased direct engagement. Scenarios that could realistically shift odds include an unforeseen escalation in regional tensions, a major official announcement, or a high-profile crisis requiring timely leadership messaging.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 25, 12:00 PM ET and September 1, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Volume
$13,713End Date
Sep 1, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 25, 12:00 PM ET and September 1, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**The market's overwhelming consensus on fewer than five posts by accounts tied to Iran's Supreme Leader reflects Mojtaba Khamenei's established low-profile approach to X since succeeding his father in March 2026.** He communicates primarily through occasional written statements read by state media rather than direct or frequent platform activity, consistent with historical patterns of measured, event-driven output from the office. Recent weeks have shown continued restraint, with media handles handling commemorative content around mid-August observances and no scheduled diplomatic, military, or policy milestones in the narrow window likely to trigger additional statements. Health-related speculation has prompted reassurances and archival releases but has not increased direct engagement. Scenarios that could realistically shift odds include an unforeseen escalation in regional tensions, a major official announcement, or a high-profile crisis requiring timely leadership messaging.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 25, 12:00 PM ET and September 1, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$13,713End Date
Sep 1, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...**The market's overwhelming consensus on fewer than five posts by accounts tied to Iran's Supreme Leader reflects Mojtaba Khamenei's established low-profile approach to X since succeeding his father in March 2026.** He communicates primarily through occasional written statements read by state media rather than direct or frequent platform activity, consistent with historical patterns of measured, event-driven output from the office. Recent weeks have shown continued restraint, with media handles handling commemorative content around mid-August observances and no scheduled diplomatic, military, or policy milestones in the narrow window likely to trigger additional statements. Health-related speculation has prompted reassurances and archival releases but has not increased direct engagement. Scenarios that could realistically shift odds include an unforeseen escalation in regional tensions, a major official announcement, or a high-profile crisis requiring timely leadership messaging.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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