President Donald Trump’s Truth Social activity has averaged 19–24 posts per day through 2026, with frequent late-night clusters and multi-post bursts tied to policy announcements, foreign developments, and political messaging. Recent elevated output stems from sustained focus on the Iran conflict, the major Venezuela oil agreement, tariff measures, and midterm endorsements, patterns that have historically pushed weekly totals well above baseline. The September 1–8 window overlaps ongoing foreign-policy catalysts plus routine White House communications around Labor Day, supporting trader consensus reflected in the 68.5% probability for 200+ posts. Lower bands receive lower implied probabilities because quieter periods have produced fewer than 180 posts only when activity dips noticeably below current averages.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedDonald Trump # Truth Social posts September 1 - September 8, 2026?
Donald Trump # Truth Social posts September 1 - September 8, 2026?
200+ 69%
180-199 16%
160-179 11%
140-159 10%
NEW
NEW
Sep 8, 2026
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
1%
60-79
1%
80-99
1%
100-119
5%
120-139
9%
140-159
10%
160-179
11%
180-199
16%
200+
69%
200+ 69%
180-199 16%
160-179 11%
140-159 10%
NEW
NEW
Sep 8, 2026
<20
$172 Vol.
<1%
20-39
$194 Vol.
<1%
40-59
$158 Vol.
1%
60-79
$161 Vol.
1%
80-99
$147 Vol.
1%
100-119
$111 Vol.
5%
120-139
$269 Vol.
9%
140-159
$565 Vol.
10%
160-179
$289 Vol.
11%
180-199
$395 Vol.
16%
200+
$1,198 Vol.
69%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between September 1, 12:00 PM ET and September 8, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.President Donald Trump’s Truth Social activity has averaged 19–24 posts per day through 2026, with frequent late-night clusters and multi-post bursts tied to policy announcements, foreign developments, and political messaging. Recent elevated output stems from sustained focus on the Iran conflict, the major Venezuela oil agreement, tariff measures, and midterm endorsements, patterns that have historically pushed weekly totals well above baseline. The September 1–8 window overlaps ongoing foreign-policy catalysts plus routine White House communications around Labor Day, supporting trader consensus reflected in the 68.5% probability for 200+ posts. Lower bands receive lower implied probabilities because quieter periods have produced fewer than 180 posts only when activity dips noticeably below current averages.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between September 1, 12:00 PM ET and September 8, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Aug 29, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Volume
$3,658End Date
Sep 8, 2026Market Opened
Aug 29, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between September 1, 12:00 PM ET and September 8, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.President Donald Trump’s Truth Social activity has averaged 19–24 posts per day through 2026, with frequent late-night clusters and multi-post bursts tied to policy announcements, foreign developments, and political messaging. Recent elevated output stems from sustained focus on the Iran conflict, the major Venezuela oil agreement, tariff measures, and midterm endorsements, patterns that have historically pushed weekly totals well above baseline. The September 1–8 window overlaps ongoing foreign-policy catalysts plus routine White House communications around Labor Day, supporting trader consensus reflected in the 68.5% probability for 200+ posts. Lower bands receive lower implied probabilities because quieter periods have produced fewer than 180 posts only when activity dips noticeably below current averages.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between September 1, 12:00 PM ET and September 8, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$3,658End Date
Sep 8, 2026Market Opened
Aug 29, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...President Donald Trump’s Truth Social activity has averaged 19–24 posts per day through 2026, with frequent late-night clusters and multi-post bursts tied to policy announcements, foreign developments, and political messaging. Recent elevated output stems from sustained focus on the Iran conflict, the major Venezuela oil agreement, tariff measures, and midterm endorsements, patterns that have historically pushed weekly totals well above baseline. The September 1–8 window overlaps ongoing foreign-policy catalysts plus routine White House communications around Labor Day, supporting trader consensus reflected in the 68.5% probability for 200+ posts. Lower bands receive lower implied probabilities because quieter periods have produced fewer than 180 posts only when activity dips noticeably below current averages.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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