Low application and approval volumes for the Trump Gold Card visa program, which requires a $1 million gift to the Department of Commerce plus a $15,000 DHS processing fee for expedited permanent residency, have anchored trader consensus on the 1-100 outcome. Official updates through May 2026 confirmed just one approval and roughly 165 fee payments despite earlier claims of over $1 billion in sales, reflecting slow processing, limited uptake among eligible applicants, and implementation hurdles under the September 2025 executive order. With the year more than halfway complete and no reported acceleration in approvals or marketing shifts, probabilities remain concentrated on minimal totals, while higher brackets like 101-1k or above receive minimal implied probability absent new legislative or administrative catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHow many Gold Cards will Trump sell in 2026?
How many Gold Cards will Trump sell in 2026?
1-100 82.8%
>100k 4.8%
101-1k 4.0%
1k-2.5k 3.9%
$289,894 Vol.
$289,894 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
1-100
78%
101-1k
4%
1k-2.5k
4%
2.5k-5k
2%
5k-10k
1%
10k-25k
2%
25k-100k
1%
>100k
5%
1-100 82.8%
>100k 4.8%
101-1k 4.0%
1k-2.5k 3.9%
$289,894 Vol.
$289,894 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
1-100
$18,091 Vol.
78%
101-1k
$41,206 Vol.
4%
1k-2.5k
$10,966 Vol.
4%
2.5k-5k
$10,242 Vol.
2%
5k-10k
$11,926 Vol.
1%
10k-25k
$116,798 Vol.
2%
25k-100k
$10,864 Vol.
1%
>100k
$25,375 Vol.
5%
Donald Trump has announced a “Gold Card” plan to offer a pathway citizenship to citizenship in exchange for a $5m payment.
This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.Low application and approval volumes for the Trump Gold Card visa program, which requires a $1 million gift to the Department of Commerce plus a $15,000 DHS processing fee for expedited permanent residency, have anchored trader consensus on the 1-100 outcome. Official updates through May 2026 confirmed just one approval and roughly 165 fee payments despite earlier claims of over $1 billion in sales, reflecting slow processing, limited uptake among eligible applicants, and implementation hurdles under the September 2025 executive order. With the year more than halfway complete and no reported acceleration in approvals or marketing shifts, probabilities remain concentrated on minimal totals, while higher brackets like 101-1k or above receive minimal implied probability absent new legislative or administrative catalysts.
Donald Trump has announced a “Gold Card” plan to offer a pathway citizenship to citizenship in exchange for a $5m payment.
This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Nov 5, 2025, 11:33 AM ET
Volume
$289,894End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Nov 5, 2025, 11:33 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Donald Trump has announced a “Gold Card” plan to offer a pathway citizenship to citizenship in exchange for a $5m payment.
This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.Low application and approval volumes for the Trump Gold Card visa program, which requires a $1 million gift to the Department of Commerce plus a $15,000 DHS processing fee for expedited permanent residency, have anchored trader consensus on the 1-100 outcome. Official updates through May 2026 confirmed just one approval and roughly 165 fee payments despite earlier claims of over $1 billion in sales, reflecting slow processing, limited uptake among eligible applicants, and implementation hurdles under the September 2025 executive order. With the year more than halfway complete and no reported acceleration in approvals or marketing shifts, probabilities remain concentrated on minimal totals, while higher brackets like 101-1k or above receive minimal implied probability absent new legislative or administrative catalysts.
Donald Trump has announced a “Gold Card” plan to offer a pathway citizenship to citizenship in exchange for a $5m payment.
This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$289,894End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Nov 5, 2025, 11:33 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Low application and approval volumes for the Trump Gold Card visa program, which requires a $1 million gift to the Department of Commerce plus a $15,000 DHS processing fee for expedited permanent residency, have anchored trader consensus on the 1-100 outcome. Official updates through May 2026 confirmed just one approval and roughly 165 fee payments despite earlier claims of over $1 billion in sales, reflecting slow processing, limited uptake among eligible applicants, and implementation hurdles under the September 2025 executive order. With the year more than halfway complete and no reported acceleration in approvals or marketing shifts, probabilities remain concentrated on minimal totals, while higher brackets like 101-1k or above receive minimal implied probability absent new legislative or administrative catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions