Current meteorological forecasts for Shenzhen on August 17, 2026, converge on a daytime maximum of 32–34°C, reflecting the region’s subtropical monsoon climate where August averages near 32°C. High humidity above 75% combined with overcast skies and scattered afternoon thunderstorms limits peak solar heating and promotes evaporative cooling, anchoring the distribution around these values. Official model consensus from sources such as timeanddate and UK Met Office aligns closely with long-term climatology, explaining why 33°C leads at 37.5% implied probability followed closely by 32°C and 34°C. Only narrow shifts in storm timing, reduced cloud cover, or altered coastal breezes could realistically push readings outside this narrow band.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Shenzhen on August 17?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on August 17?
33°C 38%
32°C 25%
34°C 25%
31°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 17, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
7%
32°C
25%
33°C
38%
34°C
25%
35°C
6%
36°C
2%
37°C or higher
1%
33°C 38%
32°C 25%
34°C 25%
31°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 17, 2026
27°C or below
$97 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$6 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$283 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$102 Vol.
2%
31°C
$139 Vol.
7%
32°C
$126 Vol.
25%
33°C
$250 Vol.
38%
34°C
$174 Vol.
25%
35°C
$283 Vol.
6%
36°C
$569 Vol.
2%
37°C or higher
$244 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological forecasts for Shenzhen on August 17, 2026, converge on a daytime maximum of 32–34°C, reflecting the region’s subtropical monsoon climate where August averages near 32°C. High humidity above 75% combined with overcast skies and scattered afternoon thunderstorms limits peak solar heating and promotes evaporative cooling, anchoring the distribution around these values. Official model consensus from sources such as timeanddate and UK Met Office aligns closely with long-term climatology, explaining why 33°C leads at 37.5% implied probability followed closely by 32°C and 34°C. Only narrow shifts in storm timing, reduced cloud cover, or altered coastal breezes could realistically push readings outside this narrow band.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 15, 2026, 4:07 PM ET
Volume
$2,272End Date
Aug 17, 2026Market Opened
Aug 15, 2026, 4:07 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological forecasts for Shenzhen on August 17, 2026, converge on a daytime maximum of 32–34°C, reflecting the region’s subtropical monsoon climate where August averages near 32°C. High humidity above 75% combined with overcast skies and scattered afternoon thunderstorms limits peak solar heating and promotes evaporative cooling, anchoring the distribution around these values. Official model consensus from sources such as timeanddate and UK Met Office aligns closely with long-term climatology, explaining why 33°C leads at 37.5% implied probability followed closely by 32°C and 34°C. Only narrow shifts in storm timing, reduced cloud cover, or altered coastal breezes could realistically push readings outside this narrow band.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,272End Date
Aug 17, 2026Market Opened
Aug 15, 2026, 4:07 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current meteorological forecasts for Shenzhen on August 17, 2026, converge on a daytime maximum of 32–34°C, reflecting the region’s subtropical monsoon climate where August averages near 32°C. High humidity above 75% combined with overcast skies and scattered afternoon thunderstorms limits peak solar heating and promotes evaporative cooling, anchoring the distribution around these values. Official model consensus from sources such as timeanddate and UK Met Office aligns closely with long-term climatology, explaining why 33°C leads at 37.5% implied probability followed closely by 32°C and 34°C. Only narrow shifts in storm timing, reduced cloud cover, or altered coastal breezes could realistically push readings outside this narrow band.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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