Miami's peak temperature on August 16 hinges on afternoon sea-breeze timing and convective development, which National Weather Service guidance and regional models place near 92–94°F amid typical mid-August subtropical conditions. High humidity and easterly flow limit extreme heating, while variable cloud cover and isolated thunderstorms introduce uncertainty that splits trader consensus almost evenly between the 92–93°F and 94–95°F bins. Recent seasonal warmth, including July 2026 ranking among Miami’s hottest months on record, supports the slight edge for the upper range, yet climatological normals near 91°F and potential for stronger storms keep lower outcomes viable until final observations confirm the daily maximum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Miami on August 16?
Highest temperature in Miami on August 16?
92-93°F 54%
94-95°F 47%
96-97°F 2%
90-91°F <1%
NEW
NEW
Aug 16, 2026
85°F or below
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
54%
94-95°F
47%
96-97°F
2%
98-99°F
<1%
100-101°F
<1%
102-103°F
<1%
104°F or higher
<1%
92-93°F 54%
94-95°F 47%
96-97°F 2%
90-91°F <1%
NEW
NEW
Aug 16, 2026
85°F or below
$111 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$381 Vol.
<1%
88-89°F
$507 Vol.
<1%
90-91°F
$828 Vol.
1%
92-93°F
$3,126 Vol.
54%
94-95°F
$1,977 Vol.
47%
96-97°F
$461 Vol.
2%
98-99°F
$367 Vol.
<1%
100-101°F
$288 Vol.
<1%
102-103°F
$206 Vol.
<1%
104°F or higher
$143 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Miami's peak temperature on August 16 hinges on afternoon sea-breeze timing and convective development, which National Weather Service guidance and regional models place near 92–94°F amid typical mid-August subtropical conditions. High humidity and easterly flow limit extreme heating, while variable cloud cover and isolated thunderstorms introduce uncertainty that splits trader consensus almost evenly between the 92–93°F and 94–95°F bins. Recent seasonal warmth, including July 2026 ranking among Miami’s hottest months on record, supports the slight edge for the upper range, yet climatological normals near 91°F and potential for stronger storms keep lower outcomes viable until final observations confirm the daily maximum.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 15, 2026, 4:01 PM ET
Volume
$8,394End Date
Aug 16, 2026Market Opened
Aug 15, 2026, 4:01 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Miami's peak temperature on August 16 hinges on afternoon sea-breeze timing and convective development, which National Weather Service guidance and regional models place near 92–94°F amid typical mid-August subtropical conditions. High humidity and easterly flow limit extreme heating, while variable cloud cover and isolated thunderstorms introduce uncertainty that splits trader consensus almost evenly between the 92–93°F and 94–95°F bins. Recent seasonal warmth, including July 2026 ranking among Miami’s hottest months on record, supports the slight edge for the upper range, yet climatological normals near 91°F and potential for stronger storms keep lower outcomes viable until final observations confirm the daily maximum.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$8,394End Date
Aug 16, 2026Market Opened
Aug 15, 2026, 4:01 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Miami's peak temperature on August 16 hinges on afternoon sea-breeze timing and convective development, which National Weather Service guidance and regional models place near 92–94°F amid typical mid-August subtropical conditions. High humidity and easterly flow limit extreme heating, while variable cloud cover and isolated thunderstorms introduce uncertainty that splits trader consensus almost evenly between the 92–93°F and 94–95°F bins. Recent seasonal warmth, including July 2026 ranking among Miami’s hottest months on record, supports the slight edge for the upper range, yet climatological normals near 91°F and potential for stronger storms keep lower outcomes viable until final observations confirm the daily maximum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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