Persistent marine layer influence and onshore Pacific flow are moderating coastal Los Angeles temperatures on August 16, with National Weather Service forecasts for LAX projecting a high near 77°F after morning clouds clear. This setup explains the market’s strong 62% implied probability for 76-77°F as the daily high, ahead of 78-79°F at 29.5%, by suppressing typical August afternoon warming that averages 82-85°F. Recent model consensus and observational data from the Los Angeles basin reinforce limited inland heat penetration today, though any earlier-than-expected clearing or reduced stratus could allow modest warming toward the upper end of the favored range before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Los Angeles on August 16?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on August 16?
76-77°F 62%
78-79°F 30%
74-75°F 7%
80-81°F 3%
NEW
NEW
Aug 16, 2026
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
3%
74-75°F
7%
76-77°F
62%
78-79°F
30%
80-81°F
3%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F or higher
<1%
76-77°F 62%
78-79°F 30%
74-75°F 7%
80-81°F 3%
NEW
NEW
Aug 16, 2026
67°F or below
$107 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$226 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$204 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$347 Vol.
3%
74-75°F
$704 Vol.
7%
76-77°F
$1,157 Vol.
62%
78-79°F
$1,449 Vol.
30%
80-81°F
$172 Vol.
3%
82-83°F
$150 Vol.
2%
84-85°F
$652 Vol.
<1%
86°F or higher
$1,308 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent marine layer influence and onshore Pacific flow are moderating coastal Los Angeles temperatures on August 16, with National Weather Service forecasts for LAX projecting a high near 77°F after morning clouds clear. This setup explains the market’s strong 62% implied probability for 76-77°F as the daily high, ahead of 78-79°F at 29.5%, by suppressing typical August afternoon warming that averages 82-85°F. Recent model consensus and observational data from the Los Angeles basin reinforce limited inland heat penetration today, though any earlier-than-expected clearing or reduced stratus could allow modest warming toward the upper end of the favored range before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 15, 2026, 4:03 PM ET
Volume
$6,476End Date
Aug 16, 2026Market Opened
Aug 15, 2026, 4:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent marine layer influence and onshore Pacific flow are moderating coastal Los Angeles temperatures on August 16, with National Weather Service forecasts for LAX projecting a high near 77°F after morning clouds clear. This setup explains the market’s strong 62% implied probability for 76-77°F as the daily high, ahead of 78-79°F at 29.5%, by suppressing typical August afternoon warming that averages 82-85°F. Recent model consensus and observational data from the Los Angeles basin reinforce limited inland heat penetration today, though any earlier-than-expected clearing or reduced stratus could allow modest warming toward the upper end of the favored range before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,476End Date
Aug 16, 2026Market Opened
Aug 15, 2026, 4:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent marine layer influence and onshore Pacific flow are moderating coastal Los Angeles temperatures on August 16, with National Weather Service forecasts for LAX projecting a high near 77°F after morning clouds clear. This setup explains the market’s strong 62% implied probability for 76-77°F as the daily high, ahead of 78-79°F at 29.5%, by suppressing typical August afternoon warming that averages 82-85°F. Recent model consensus and observational data from the Los Angeles basin reinforce limited inland heat penetration today, though any earlier-than-expected clearing or reduced stratus could allow modest warming toward the upper end of the favored range before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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