Recent meteorological forecasts for Jeddah indicate a high near 39°C on August 17, driven by persistent summer high pressure, light northerly winds, and warm Red Sea moisture moderating overnight lows while allowing daytime maxima to build. This aligns with historical August averages of 37–38°C but reflects slight upward model consensus from recent runs, elevating the 40°C outcome to 43.5% implied probability ahead of 39°C and 41°C. Typical conditions—clear skies, low precipitation chance, and peak solar insolation—support this range without extreme anomalies, though minor forecast revisions from agencies like the Saudi Meteorological Authority could shift probabilities before resolution. Traders weigh these variables against climatological baselines for the coastal location.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Jeddah on August 17?
Highest temperature in Jeddah on August 17?
40°C 44%
39°C 23%
41°C 20%
42°C 8%
NEW
NEW
Aug 17, 2026
35°C or below
<1%
36°C
1%
37°C
3%
38°C
7%
39°C
23%
40°C
44%
41°C
20%
42°C
8%
43°C
1%
44°C
<1%
45°C or higher
<1%
40°C 44%
39°C 23%
41°C 20%
42°C 8%
NEW
NEW
Aug 17, 2026
35°C or below
$255 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$101 Vol.
1%
37°C
$158 Vol.
3%
38°C
$105 Vol.
7%
39°C
$140 Vol.
23%
40°C
$149 Vol.
44%
41°C
$148 Vol.
20%
42°C
$403 Vol.
8%
43°C
$50 Vol.
1%
44°C
$385 Vol.
<1%
45°C or higher
$2,407 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts for Jeddah indicate a high near 39°C on August 17, driven by persistent summer high pressure, light northerly winds, and warm Red Sea moisture moderating overnight lows while allowing daytime maxima to build. This aligns with historical August averages of 37–38°C but reflects slight upward model consensus from recent runs, elevating the 40°C outcome to 43.5% implied probability ahead of 39°C and 41°C. Typical conditions—clear skies, low precipitation chance, and peak solar insolation—support this range without extreme anomalies, though minor forecast revisions from agencies like the Saudi Meteorological Authority could shift probabilities before resolution. Traders weigh these variables against climatological baselines for the coastal location.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 15, 2026, 4:08 PM ET
Volume
$4,300End Date
Aug 17, 2026Market Opened
Aug 15, 2026, 4:08 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts for Jeddah indicate a high near 39°C on August 17, driven by persistent summer high pressure, light northerly winds, and warm Red Sea moisture moderating overnight lows while allowing daytime maxima to build. This aligns with historical August averages of 37–38°C but reflects slight upward model consensus from recent runs, elevating the 40°C outcome to 43.5% implied probability ahead of 39°C and 41°C. Typical conditions—clear skies, low precipitation chance, and peak solar insolation—support this range without extreme anomalies, though minor forecast revisions from agencies like the Saudi Meteorological Authority could shift probabilities before resolution. Traders weigh these variables against climatological baselines for the coastal location.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,300End Date
Aug 17, 2026Market Opened
Aug 15, 2026, 4:08 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological forecasts for Jeddah indicate a high near 39°C on August 17, driven by persistent summer high pressure, light northerly winds, and warm Red Sea moisture moderating overnight lows while allowing daytime maxima to build. This aligns with historical August averages of 37–38°C but reflects slight upward model consensus from recent runs, elevating the 40°C outcome to 43.5% implied probability ahead of 39°C and 41°C. Typical conditions—clear skies, low precipitation chance, and peak solar insolation—support this range without extreme anomalies, though minor forecast revisions from agencies like the Saudi Meteorological Authority could shift probabilities before resolution. Traders weigh these variables against climatological baselines for the coastal location.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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