Official temperature observations from National Weather Service stations in the Denver area confirmed a daily maximum of 92–93°F on August 20, aligning with the market’s near-certain outcome. Multiple forecast model runs in the preceding days converged on this range as the most likely peak under typical late-summer high-pressure conditions, with limited moisture and light winds preventing stronger heating or convective cooling. Historical climatology for mid-August supports maxima in the low 90s as common, reinforcing trader consensus. Only an uncharacteristic model bias, station equipment anomaly, or post-event data revision could shift the recorded value outside this narrow bin, scenarios viewed as extremely low-probability given redundant monitoring networks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Denver on August 20?
Highest temperature in Denver on August 20?
92-93°F 100.0%
83°F or below <1%
84-85°F <1%
86-87°F <1%
$31,351 Vol.
$31,351 Vol.
Aug 20, 2026
83°F or below
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
100%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98-99°F
<1%
100-101°F
<1%
102°F or higher
<1%
92-93°F 100.0%
83°F or below <1%
84-85°F <1%
86-87°F <1%
$31,351 Vol.
$31,351 Vol.
Aug 20, 2026
83°F or below
$21 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$207 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$2,755 Vol.
<1%
88-89°F
$1,835 Vol.
<1%
90-91°F
$3,688 Vol.
<1%
92-93°F
$8,326 Vol.
100%
94-95°F
$5,681 Vol.
<1%
96-97°F
$3,960 Vol.
<1%
98-99°F
$4,444 Vol.
<1%
100-101°F
$233 Vol.
<1%
102°F or higher
$202 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official temperature observations from National Weather Service stations in the Denver area confirmed a daily maximum of 92–93°F on August 20, aligning with the market’s near-certain outcome. Multiple forecast model runs in the preceding days converged on this range as the most likely peak under typical late-summer high-pressure conditions, with limited moisture and light winds preventing stronger heating or convective cooling. Historical climatology for mid-August supports maxima in the low 90s as common, reinforcing trader consensus. Only an uncharacteristic model bias, station equipment anomaly, or post-event data revision could shift the recorded value outside this narrow bin, scenarios viewed as extremely low-probability given redundant monitoring networks.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 18, 2026, 9:56 PM ET
Volume
$31,351End Date
Aug 20, 2026Market Opened
Aug 18, 2026, 9:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official temperature observations from National Weather Service stations in the Denver area confirmed a daily maximum of 92–93°F on August 20, aligning with the market’s near-certain outcome. Multiple forecast model runs in the preceding days converged on this range as the most likely peak under typical late-summer high-pressure conditions, with limited moisture and light winds preventing stronger heating or convective cooling. Historical climatology for mid-August supports maxima in the low 90s as common, reinforcing trader consensus. Only an uncharacteristic model bias, station equipment anomaly, or post-event data revision could shift the recorded value outside this narrow bin, scenarios viewed as extremely low-probability given redundant monitoring networks.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$31,351End Date
Aug 20, 2026Market Opened
Aug 18, 2026, 9:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official temperature observations from National Weather Service stations in the Denver area confirmed a daily maximum of 92–93°F on August 20, aligning with the market’s near-certain outcome. Multiple forecast model runs in the preceding days converged on this range as the most likely peak under typical late-summer high-pressure conditions, with limited moisture and light winds preventing stronger heating or convective cooling. Historical climatology for mid-August supports maxima in the low 90s as common, reinforcing trader consensus. Only an uncharacteristic model bias, station equipment anomaly, or post-event data revision could shift the recorded value outside this narrow bin, scenarios viewed as extremely low-probability given redundant monitoring networks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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