Recent forecasts from models such as those referenced by AccuWeather and local meteorological services indicate a daily maximum near 28°C for Chengdu on August 17, driven by increased cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderating atmospheric moisture that limit solar heating compared to clearer, hotter conditions earlier in the month. Subtropical high-pressure influences and regional humidity typical of Sichuan’s summer monsoon transition create narrow margins between 27°C and 29°C outcomes, where small shifts in convective timing or wind patterns can alter peak readings by 1°C. Historical August averages hover around 29–30°C, but current observational trends favor slightly cooler maxima, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the closely matched 35.5% and 26.5% implied probabilities for the leading bins. Updated model runs and official briefings from China’s meteorological agencies will likely refine these distinctions ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chengdu on August 17?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on August 17?
28°C 36%
27°C 27%
29°C 17%
26°C 13%
NEW
NEW
Aug 17, 2026
23°C or below
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
6%
26°C
13%
27°C
27%
28°C
36%
29°C
17%
30°C
6%
31°C
2%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
<1%
28°C 36%
27°C 27%
29°C 17%
26°C 13%
NEW
NEW
Aug 17, 2026
23°C or below
$216 Vol.
1%
24°C
$136 Vol.
1%
25°C
$226 Vol.
6%
26°C
$230 Vol.
13%
27°C
$1,766 Vol.
27%
28°C
$289 Vol.
36%
29°C
$58 Vol.
17%
30°C
$268 Vol.
6%
31°C
$79 Vol.
2%
32°C
$11 Vol.
1%
33°C or higher
$6 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models such as those referenced by AccuWeather and local meteorological services indicate a daily maximum near 28°C for Chengdu on August 17, driven by increased cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderating atmospheric moisture that limit solar heating compared to clearer, hotter conditions earlier in the month. Subtropical high-pressure influences and regional humidity typical of Sichuan’s summer monsoon transition create narrow margins between 27°C and 29°C outcomes, where small shifts in convective timing or wind patterns can alter peak readings by 1°C. Historical August averages hover around 29–30°C, but current observational trends favor slightly cooler maxima, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the closely matched 35.5% and 26.5% implied probabilities for the leading bins. Updated model runs and official briefings from China’s meteorological agencies will likely refine these distinctions ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 15, 2026, 4:07 PM ET
Volume
$3,284End Date
Aug 17, 2026Market Opened
Aug 15, 2026, 4:07 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models such as those referenced by AccuWeather and local meteorological services indicate a daily maximum near 28°C for Chengdu on August 17, driven by increased cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderating atmospheric moisture that limit solar heating compared to clearer, hotter conditions earlier in the month. Subtropical high-pressure influences and regional humidity typical of Sichuan’s summer monsoon transition create narrow margins between 27°C and 29°C outcomes, where small shifts in convective timing or wind patterns can alter peak readings by 1°C. Historical August averages hover around 29–30°C, but current observational trends favor slightly cooler maxima, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the closely matched 35.5% and 26.5% implied probabilities for the leading bins. Updated model runs and official briefings from China’s meteorological agencies will likely refine these distinctions ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,284End Date
Aug 17, 2026Market Opened
Aug 15, 2026, 4:07 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from models such as those referenced by AccuWeather and local meteorological services indicate a daily maximum near 28°C for Chengdu on August 17, driven by increased cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderating atmospheric moisture that limit solar heating compared to clearer, hotter conditions earlier in the month. Subtropical high-pressure influences and regional humidity typical of Sichuan’s summer monsoon transition create narrow margins between 27°C and 29°C outcomes, where small shifts in convective timing or wind patterns can alter peak readings by 1°C. Historical August averages hover around 29–30°C, but current observational trends favor slightly cooler maxima, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the closely matched 35.5% and 26.5% implied probabilities for the leading bins. Updated model runs and official briefings from China’s meteorological agencies will likely refine these distinctions ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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