Late-summer atmospheric patterns over northern China currently favor a Beijing daily maximum near 32–33 °C on August 22, 2026, with model ensembles indicating partly cloudy skies and modest diurnal heating capped by residual boundary-layer moisture. Ensemble forecasts from sources such as the Met Office and AccuWeather place the peak in this narrow band, reflecting a seasonal decline from mid-August averages near 31 °C. Differentiation between 32 °C and 33 °C hinges on subtle differences in predicted cloud cover, humidity, and any late-afternoon convective inhibition; stronger insolation would push toward the higher outcome while increased moisture or showers would anchor it lower. Trader consensus at 33.5 % for 32 °C and 27.5 % for 33 °C captures this tight uncertainty ahead of final observational data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Beijing on August 22?
Highest temperature in Beijing on August 22?
32°C 34%
33°C 28%
31°C 15%
34°C 9%
NEW
NEW
Aug 22, 2026
27°C or below
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
5%
31°C
15%
32°C
34%
33°C
28%
34°C
9%
35°C
3%
36°C
2%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 34%
33°C 28%
31°C 15%
34°C 9%
NEW
NEW
Aug 22, 2026
27°C or below
$970 Vol.
1%
28°C
$369 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$65 Vol.
2%
30°C
$210 Vol.
5%
31°C
$162 Vol.
15%
32°C
$276 Vol.
34%
33°C
$403 Vol.
28%
34°C
$632 Vol.
9%
35°C
$622 Vol.
3%
36°C
$80 Vol.
2%
37°C or higher
$370 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Late-summer atmospheric patterns over northern China currently favor a Beijing daily maximum near 32–33 °C on August 22, 2026, with model ensembles indicating partly cloudy skies and modest diurnal heating capped by residual boundary-layer moisture. Ensemble forecasts from sources such as the Met Office and AccuWeather place the peak in this narrow band, reflecting a seasonal decline from mid-August averages near 31 °C. Differentiation between 32 °C and 33 °C hinges on subtle differences in predicted cloud cover, humidity, and any late-afternoon convective inhibition; stronger insolation would push toward the higher outcome while increased moisture or showers would anchor it lower. Trader consensus at 33.5 % for 32 °C and 27.5 % for 33 °C captures this tight uncertainty ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$4,158End Date
Aug 22, 2026Market Opened
Aug 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Late-summer atmospheric patterns over northern China currently favor a Beijing daily maximum near 32–33 °C on August 22, 2026, with model ensembles indicating partly cloudy skies and modest diurnal heating capped by residual boundary-layer moisture. Ensemble forecasts from sources such as the Met Office and AccuWeather place the peak in this narrow band, reflecting a seasonal decline from mid-August averages near 31 °C. Differentiation between 32 °C and 33 °C hinges on subtle differences in predicted cloud cover, humidity, and any late-afternoon convective inhibition; stronger insolation would push toward the higher outcome while increased moisture or showers would anchor it lower. Trader consensus at 33.5 % for 32 °C and 27.5 % for 33 °C captures this tight uncertainty ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,158End Date
Aug 22, 2026Market Opened
Aug 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Late-summer atmospheric patterns over northern China currently favor a Beijing daily maximum near 32–33 °C on August 22, 2026, with model ensembles indicating partly cloudy skies and modest diurnal heating capped by residual boundary-layer moisture. Ensemble forecasts from sources such as the Met Office and AccuWeather place the peak in this narrow band, reflecting a seasonal decline from mid-August averages near 31 °C. Differentiation between 32 °C and 33 °C hinges on subtle differences in predicted cloud cover, humidity, and any late-afternoon convective inhibition; stronger insolation would push toward the higher outcome while increased moisture or showers would anchor it lower. Trader consensus at 33.5 % for 32 °C and 27.5 % for 33 °C captures this tight uncertainty ahead of final observational data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions