A persistent high-pressure system and seasonal heat dome over central Texas are sustaining elevated temperatures in Austin on August 16, with National Weather Service forecasts calling for a high near 101°F under mostly sunny skies and south winds. Mid-August aligns with Austin’s climatological peak, when average highs reach 97–99°F and triple-digit readings become common due to strong solar heating, minimal cloud cover, and warm advection. Recent model runs show limited cooling influence from moisture or fronts, supporting the market’s emphasis on 100–103°F outcomes while acknowledging typical forecast uncertainty ranges of a few degrees from variables like afternoon convection or wind shifts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Austin on August 16?
Highest temperature in Austin on August 16?
100-101°F 54%
102-103°F 33%
98-99°F 9%
104-105°F 6%
NEW
NEW
Aug 16, 2026
93°F or below
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
2%
98-99°F
9%
100-101°F
54%
102-103°F
33%
104-105°F
6%
106-107°F
<1%
108-109°F
<1%
110-111°F
<1%
112°F or higher
<1%
100-101°F 54%
102-103°F 33%
98-99°F 9%
104-105°F 6%
NEW
NEW
Aug 16, 2026
93°F or below
$210 Vol.
<1%
94-95°F
$143 Vol.
<1%
96-97°F
$698 Vol.
2%
98-99°F
$808 Vol.
9%
100-101°F
$679 Vol.
54%
102-103°F
$912 Vol.
33%
104-105°F
$184 Vol.
6%
106-107°F
$59 Vol.
<1%
108-109°F
$208 Vol.
<1%
110-111°F
$1,482 Vol.
<1%
112°F or higher
$288 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A persistent high-pressure system and seasonal heat dome over central Texas are sustaining elevated temperatures in Austin on August 16, with National Weather Service forecasts calling for a high near 101°F under mostly sunny skies and south winds. Mid-August aligns with Austin’s climatological peak, when average highs reach 97–99°F and triple-digit readings become common due to strong solar heating, minimal cloud cover, and warm advection. Recent model runs show limited cooling influence from moisture or fronts, supporting the market’s emphasis on 100–103°F outcomes while acknowledging typical forecast uncertainty ranges of a few degrees from variables like afternoon convection or wind shifts.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 15, 2026, 4:02 PM ET
Volume
$5,631End Date
Aug 16, 2026Market Opened
Aug 15, 2026, 4:02 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A persistent high-pressure system and seasonal heat dome over central Texas are sustaining elevated temperatures in Austin on August 16, with National Weather Service forecasts calling for a high near 101°F under mostly sunny skies and south winds. Mid-August aligns with Austin’s climatological peak, when average highs reach 97–99°F and triple-digit readings become common due to strong solar heating, minimal cloud cover, and warm advection. Recent model runs show limited cooling influence from moisture or fronts, supporting the market’s emphasis on 100–103°F outcomes while acknowledging typical forecast uncertainty ranges of a few degrees from variables like afternoon convection or wind shifts.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,631End Date
Aug 16, 2026Market Opened
Aug 15, 2026, 4:02 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...A persistent high-pressure system and seasonal heat dome over central Texas are sustaining elevated temperatures in Austin on August 16, with National Weather Service forecasts calling for a high near 101°F under mostly sunny skies and south winds. Mid-August aligns with Austin’s climatological peak, when average highs reach 97–99°F and triple-digit readings become common due to strong solar heating, minimal cloud cover, and warm advection. Recent model runs show limited cooling influence from moisture or fronts, supporting the market’s emphasis on 100–103°F outcomes while acknowledging typical forecast uncertainty ranges of a few degrees from variables like afternoon convection or wind shifts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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