Beatriz Mojica Morga leads early preference surveys for Morena’s 2027 Guerrero gubernatorial nomination, consistent with her 38.4% implied probability on the market, while Pablo Amílcar Sandoval Ballesteros, Gustavo Alarcón Herrera, Karen Castrejón Trujillo and other listed contenders trail at single-digit or low double-digit levels. The contest remains fragmented because formal party selections have not occurred, multiple aspirants compete within Morena, and opposition parties have yet to consolidate around unified candidates. Statewide polling shows Morena far ahead overall, but the absence of finalized ballots and limited recent campaign activity keeps separation modest. Upcoming internal surveys, nomination announcements, or security-related developments could shift trader assessments ahead of the June 2027 vote.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedBeatriz Mojica Morga 38.4%
Pablo Amílcar Sandoval Ballesteros 11%
Guadalupe Eguiluz 5.1%
Esthela Damián Peralta 3.6%
$11,938 Vol.
$11,938 Vol.
Beatriz Mojica Morga
38%
Pablo Amílcar Sandoval Ballesteros
11%
Guadalupe Eguiluz
5%
Esthela Damián Peralta
4%
Erika Lorena Lührs
1%
Marcial Rodríguez Saldaña
1%
Karen Castrejón Trujillo
6%
Gabriela Bernal Reséndiz
1%
Rubén Cayetano García
<1%
Zeferino Gómez Valdovinos
<1%
Gustavo Alarcón Herrera
<1%
Héctor Astudillo Flores
<1%
Julián López Galeana
<1%
Evodio Velázquez Aguirre
<1%
Abelina López Rodríguez
<1%
Félix Salgado Macedonio
<1%
Rogelio Ortega Martínez
<1%
Alberto López Rosas
<1%
Iván Hernández Díaz
<1%
Javier Saldaña Almazán
<1%
Genaro Vázquez Flores
<1%
Norma Otilia Hernández Martínez
<1%
Manuel Añorve Baños
<1%
Alejandro Bravo Abarca
<1%
Eloy Salmerón Díaz
<1%
Yesenia Galarza Castro
<1%
Mario Moreno Arcos
<1%
Carlos Reyes Torres
<1%
Beatriz Mojica Morga 38.4%
Pablo Amílcar Sandoval Ballesteros 11%
Guadalupe Eguiluz 5.1%
Esthela Damián Peralta 3.6%
$11,938 Vol.
$11,938 Vol.
Beatriz Mojica Morga
38%
Pablo Amílcar Sandoval Ballesteros
11%
Guadalupe Eguiluz
5%
Esthela Damián Peralta
4%
Erika Lorena Lührs
1%
Marcial Rodríguez Saldaña
1%
Karen Castrejón Trujillo
6%
Gabriela Bernal Reséndiz
1%
Rubén Cayetano García
<1%
Zeferino Gómez Valdovinos
<1%
Gustavo Alarcón Herrera
<1%
Héctor Astudillo Flores
<1%
Julián López Galeana
<1%
Evodio Velázquez Aguirre
<1%
Abelina López Rodríguez
<1%
Félix Salgado Macedonio
<1%
Rogelio Ortega Martínez
<1%
Alberto López Rosas
<1%
Iván Hernández Díaz
<1%
Javier Saldaña Almazán
<1%
Genaro Vázquez Flores
<1%
Norma Otilia Hernández Martínez
<1%
Manuel Añorve Baños
<1%
Alejandro Bravo Abarca
<1%
Eloy Salmerón Díaz
<1%
Yesenia Galarza Castro
<1%
Mario Moreno Arcos
<1%
Carlos Reyes Torres
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Guerrero gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Guerrero and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Guerrero and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Market Opened: Aug 5, 2026, 7:28 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Guerrero gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Guerrero and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Guerrero and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Beatriz Mojica Morga leads early preference surveys for Morena’s 2027 Guerrero gubernatorial nomination, consistent with her 38.4% implied probability on the market, while Pablo Amílcar Sandoval Ballesteros, Gustavo Alarcón Herrera, Karen Castrejón Trujillo and other listed contenders trail at single-digit or low double-digit levels. The contest remains fragmented because formal party selections have not occurred, multiple aspirants compete within Morena, and opposition parties have yet to consolidate around unified candidates. Statewide polling shows Morena far ahead overall, but the absence of finalized ballots and limited recent campaign activity keeps separation modest. Upcoming internal surveys, nomination announcements, or security-related developments could shift trader assessments ahead of the June 2027 vote.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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