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Politics·Mexico

Chihuahua Governor Election Winner

icon for Chihuahua Governor Election Winner
Politics·Mexico

Chihuahua Governor Election Winner

Cruz Pérez Cuéllar 39%

Andrea Chávez Treviño 31%

Marco Bonilla Mendoza 27%

Julián LeBarón 5.1%

Polymarket
NEW

Cruz Pérez Cuéllar 39%

Andrea Chávez Treviño 31%

Marco Bonilla Mendoza 27%

Julián LeBarón 5.1%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Cruz Pérez Cuéllar

Cruz Pérez Cuéllar

$2,357 Vol.

39%

icon for Andrea Chávez Treviño

Andrea Chávez Treviño

$1,250 Vol.

31%

icon for Marco Bonilla Mendoza

Marco Bonilla Mendoza

$1,117 Vol.

27%

icon for Julián LeBarón

Julián LeBarón

$276 Vol.

5%

icon for Luis Carlos Arrieta Lavenant

Luis Carlos Arrieta Lavenant

$256 Vol.

4%

icon for Daniela Álvarez Hernández

Daniela Álvarez Hernández

$210 Vol.

3%

icon for Martín Chaparro Payán

Martín Chaparro Payán

$196 Vol.

1%

icon for Gilberto Loya Chávez

Gilberto Loya Chávez

$190 Vol.

1%

icon for Alejandro Domínguez Domínguez

Alejandro Domínguez Domínguez

$153 Vol.

1%

icon for Jesús Valenciano García

Jesús Valenciano García

$190 Vol.

1%

icon for Graciela Ortiz González

Graciela Ortiz González

$170 Vol.

1%

icon for Alfredo Lozoya Santillán

Alfredo Lozoya Santillán

$216 Vol.

1%

icon for Francisco Sánchez Villegas

Francisco Sánchez Villegas

$150 Vol.

<1%

icon for Mario Vázquez Robles

Mario Vázquez Robles

$210 Vol.

<1%

icon for Santiago de la Peña Grajeda

Santiago de la Peña Grajeda

$216 Vol.

<1%

icon for Rosana Díaz Reyes

Rosana Díaz Reyes

$150 Vol.

<1%

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Chihuahua on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Chihuahua gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Chihuahua and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Chihuahua and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.Chihuahua's 2027 gubernatorial race remains tightly contested among leading contenders Cruz Pérez Cuéllar, Andrea Chávez Treviño, and Marco Bonilla Mendoza, as traders price in uncertainty ahead of party nominations and the June election. Recent surveys show Morena holding a modest statewide advantage around 41 percent voting intention, driven by the party's push to expand its northern border footprint against the incumbent PAN administration. Public security, migration flows, and cross-border economic ties continue to shape voter priorities in this swing state, where historical PAN-Morena competition has produced narrow margins. Internal Morena polling favors Cruz Pérez Cuéllar over Chávez Treviño by roughly 20 points, yet the overall field stays fluid until final candidacies solidify. Any shifts in border policy signals, security incidents, or primary outcomes could quickly alter implied probabilities reflected in current market pricing.

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Chihuahua on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Chihuahua gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Chihuahua and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Chihuahua and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Volume
$7,309
End Date
Jun 6, 2027
Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 7:13 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Chihuahua on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Chihuahua gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Chihuahua and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Chihuahua and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Chihuahua on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Chihuahua gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Chihuahua and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Chihuahua and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.Chihuahua's 2027 gubernatorial race remains tightly contested among leading contenders Cruz Pérez Cuéllar, Andrea Chávez Treviño, and Marco Bonilla Mendoza, as traders price in uncertainty ahead of party nominations and the June election. Recent surveys show Morena holding a modest statewide advantage around 41 percent voting intention, driven by the party's push to expand its northern border footprint against the incumbent PAN administration. Public security, migration flows, and cross-border economic ties continue to shape voter priorities in this swing state, where historical PAN-Morena competition has produced narrow margins. Internal Morena polling favors Cruz Pérez Cuéllar over Chávez Treviño by roughly 20 points, yet the overall field stays fluid until final candidacies solidify. Any shifts in border policy signals, security incidents, or primary outcomes could quickly alter implied probabilities reflected in current market pricing.

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Chihuahua on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Chihuahua gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Chihuahua and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Chihuahua and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Volume
$7,309
End Date
Jun 6, 2027
Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 7:13 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Chihuahua on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Chihuahua gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Chihuahua and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Chihuahua and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Chihuahua Governor Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 16 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Cruz Pérez Cuéllar" at 39%, followed by "Andrea Chávez Treviño" at 31%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 39¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 39% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Chihuahua Governor Election Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 5, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Chihuahua Governor Election Winner," browse the 16 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Chihuahua Governor Election Winner" is "Cruz Pérez Cuéllar" at 39%, meaning the market assigns a 39% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Andrea Chávez Treviño" at 31%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Chihuahua Governor Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.