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Politics·Mexico

Michoacán Governor Election Winner

icon for Michoacán Governor Election Winner
Politics·Mexico

Michoacán Governor Election Winner

Alfonso Martínez Alcázar 49%

Carlos Torres Piña 28.1%

Grecia Quiroz 13.8%

Netzahualcóyotl Alanís Luna 12.0%

Polymarket
NEW

Alfonso Martínez Alcázar 49%

Carlos Torres Piña 28.1%

Grecia Quiroz 13.8%

Netzahualcóyotl Alanís Luna 12.0%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Alfonso Martínez Alcázar

Alfonso Martínez Alcázar

$47 Vol.

49%

icon for Carlos Torres Piña

Carlos Torres Piña

$1,097 Vol.

28%

icon for Grecia Quiroz

Grecia Quiroz

$109 Vol.

14%

icon for Netzahualcóyotl Alanís Luna

Netzahualcóyotl Alanís Luna

$98 Vol.

12%

icon for Fabiola Alanís Sámano

Fabiola Alanís Sámano

$95 Vol.

11%

icon for Marko Cortés Mendoza

Marko Cortés Mendoza

$88 Vol.

10%

icon for Ana Lilia Guillén Quiroz

Ana Lilia Guillén Quiroz

$95 Vol.

21%

icon for Esteban González Nava

Esteban González Nava

$88 Vol.

7%

icon for Víctor Manuel Manríquez

Víctor Manuel Manríquez

$88 Vol.

6%

icon for Edna Martínez Nambo

Edna Martínez Nambo

$88 Vol.

5%

icon for Celeste Ascencio Ortega

Celeste Ascencio Ortega

$82 Vol.

5%

icon for Daniela de los Santos

Daniela de los Santos

$109 Vol.

5%

icon for Gladyz Butanda Macías

Gladyz Butanda Macías

$88 Vol.

5%

icon for Leinad Abigail Rojas Elenes

Leinad Abigail Rojas Elenes

$109 Vol.

5%

icon for Gabriela Molina Aguilar

Gabriela Molina Aguilar

$88 Vol.

4%

icon for Netzahualcóyotl Alarcón Pedraza

Netzahualcóyotl Alarcón Pedraza

$88 Vol.

4%

icon for Guillermo Valencia Reyes

Guillermo Valencia Reyes

$88 Vol.

14%

icon for Carlos Herrera Tello

Carlos Herrera Tello

$88 Vol.

21%

icon for Adriana Hernández Íñiguez

Adriana Hernández Íñiguez

$100 Vol.

2%

icon for Raúl Morón Orozco

Raúl Morón Orozco

$95 Vol.

1%

icon for Germán Martínez Cázares

Germán Martínez Cázares

$88 Vol.

21%

icon for Ernesto Núñez Aguilar

Ernesto Núñez Aguilar

$109 Vol.

1%

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Michoacán on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Michoacán gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Michoacán and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Michoacán and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.**The Michoacán governor race for June 6, 2027, remains highly competitive with no dominant frontrunner, as traders price top contenders like Alfonso Martínez Alcázar, Carlos Torres Piña, and several others in a tight cluster.** Early positioning by opposition figures, including the Morelia mayor’s independent-leaning profile backed by PAN/PRD alliances, balances Morena’s organizational edge and internal candidate guidelines approved earlier this year. Recent developments such as Carlos Torres Piña’s appointment as state fiscal general and scattered polling showing Morena voting intention near 38% alongside rising independents keep probabilities fluid. Security concerns, party unity processes, and the long timeline before formal nominations continue to limit separation among aspirants, reflecting broad uncertainty over which coalition or independent path ultimately consolidates support.

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Michoacán on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Michoacán gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Michoacán and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Michoacán and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Volume
$3,030
End Date
Jun 6, 2027
Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 5:09 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Michoacán on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Michoacán gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Michoacán and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Michoacán and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Michoacán on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Michoacán gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Michoacán and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Michoacán and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.**The Michoacán governor race for June 6, 2027, remains highly competitive with no dominant frontrunner, as traders price top contenders like Alfonso Martínez Alcázar, Carlos Torres Piña, and several others in a tight cluster.** Early positioning by opposition figures, including the Morelia mayor’s independent-leaning profile backed by PAN/PRD alliances, balances Morena’s organizational edge and internal candidate guidelines approved earlier this year. Recent developments such as Carlos Torres Piña’s appointment as state fiscal general and scattered polling showing Morena voting intention near 38% alongside rising independents keep probabilities fluid. Security concerns, party unity processes, and the long timeline before formal nominations continue to limit separation among aspirants, reflecting broad uncertainty over which coalition or independent path ultimately consolidates support.

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Michoacán on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Michoacán gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Michoacán and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Michoacán and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Volume
$3,030
End Date
Jun 6, 2027
Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 5:09 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Michoacán on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Michoacán gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Michoacán and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Michoacán and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Michoacán Governor Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 22 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Carlos Torres Piña" at 28%, followed by "Alfonso Martínez Alcázar" at 25%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 28¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 28% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Michoacán Governor Election Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 6, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Michoacán Governor Election Winner," browse the 22 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Michoacán Governor Election Winner" is "Carlos Torres Piña" at 28%, meaning the market assigns a 28% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Alfonso Martínez Alcázar" at 25%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Michoacán Governor Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.