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Politics·Mexico

Colima Governor Election Winner

icon for Colima Governor Election Winner
Politics·Mexico

Colima Governor Election Winner

Rosa María Bayardo Cabrera 80%

Mario Delgado Carrillo 6%

Margarita Moreno González 5%

Leoncio Alfonso Morán Sánchez 3.1%

Polymarket
NEW

Rosa María Bayardo Cabrera 80%

Mario Delgado Carrillo 6%

Margarita Moreno González 5%

Leoncio Alfonso Morán Sánchez 3.1%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Rosa María Bayardo Cabrera

Rosa María Bayardo Cabrera

$1,502 Vol.

80%

icon for Mario Delgado Carrillo

Mario Delgado Carrillo

$1,265 Vol.

6%

icon for Margarita Moreno González

Margarita Moreno González

$218 Vol.

5%

icon for Leoncio Alfonso Morán Sánchez

Leoncio Alfonso Morán Sánchez

$180 Vol.

3%

icon for Virgilio Mendoza Amezcua

Virgilio Mendoza Amezcua

$151 Vol.

2%

icon for María Cristina Lupien

María Cristina Lupien

$177 Vol.

2%

icon for José Israel González

José Israel González

$181 Vol.

2%

icon for Esther Gutiérrez

Esther Gutiérrez

$190 Vol.

2%

icon for Sofía Peralta Ferro

Sofía Peralta Ferro

$152 Vol.

2%

icon for Gricelda Valencia de la Mora

Gricelda Valencia de la Mora

$170 Vol.

2%

icon for Hilda Lizette Moreno

Hilda Lizette Moreno

$170 Vol.

1%

icon for José Manuel Romero Coello

José Manuel Romero Coello

$178 Vol.

1%

icon for Ana Karen Hernández Aceves

Ana Karen Hernández Aceves

$170 Vol.

1%

icon for Mely Romero Celis

Mely Romero Celis

$179 Vol.

1%

icon for Enrique Rojas Orozco

Enrique Rojas Orozco

$189 Vol.

1%

icon for Joel Padilla Peña

Joel Padilla Peña

$151 Vol.

1%

icon for Viridiana Valencia Vargas

Viridiana Valencia Vargas

$168 Vol.

1%

icon for Julia Licet Jiménez Angulo

Julia Licet Jiménez Angulo

$190 Vol.

1%

icon for Riult Rivera Gutiérrez

Riult Rivera Gutiérrez

$170 Vol.

1%

icon for César Yáñez Centeno

César Yáñez Centeno

$214 Vol.

1%

icon for Griselda Martínez Martínez

Griselda Martínez Martínez

$168 Vol.

1%

icon for Gabriela Benavides Cobos

Gabriela Benavides Cobos

$151 Vol.

<1%

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Colima on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Colima gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Colima and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Colima and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.Rosa María Bayardo Cabrera holds the strongest position among contenders for the June 2027 Colima gubernatorial election, driven by her lead in internal coalition polling for the Morena-PT-PVEM alliance and her decision to take leave as Manzanillo mayor in June 2026 to pursue the nomination. Traders assign her the highest implied probability due to Morena's ongoing state-level advantage and the coalition's dominance in recent cycles. Opposition figures and other aspirants trail significantly, with limited recent polling shifts or party announcements altering the field. The long timeline to election day leaves room for developments such as primary outcomes, candidate withdrawals, or shifts in voter coalitions that could influence final results.

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Colima on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Colima gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Colima and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Colima and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Volume
$6,287
End Date
Jun 6, 2027
Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 7:40 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Colima on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Colima gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Colima and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Colima and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Colima on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Colima gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Colima and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Colima and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.Rosa María Bayardo Cabrera holds the strongest position among contenders for the June 2027 Colima gubernatorial election, driven by her lead in internal coalition polling for the Morena-PT-PVEM alliance and her decision to take leave as Manzanillo mayor in June 2026 to pursue the nomination. Traders assign her the highest implied probability due to Morena's ongoing state-level advantage and the coalition's dominance in recent cycles. Opposition figures and other aspirants trail significantly, with limited recent polling shifts or party announcements altering the field. The long timeline to election day leaves room for developments such as primary outcomes, candidate withdrawals, or shifts in voter coalitions that could influence final results.

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Colima on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Colima gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Colima and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Colima and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Volume
$6,287
End Date
Jun 6, 2027
Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 7:40 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Colima on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Colima gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Colima and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Colima and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Colima Governor Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 22 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Rosa María Bayardo Cabrera" at 80%, followed by "Mario Delgado Carrillo" at 6%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 80¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 80% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Colima Governor Election Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 5, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Colima Governor Election Winner," browse the 22 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Colima Governor Election Winner" is "Rosa María Bayardo Cabrera" at 80%, meaning the market assigns a 80% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Mario Delgado Carrillo" at 6%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Colima Governor Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.