Recent supply increases for NVIDIA H200 GPUs, combined with ramping Blackwell B200 availability, have introduced competitive pressure on rental rates, while strong AI training and inference demand—especially for memory-intensive workloads—supports the tight clustering around $4.00–$5.00 per hour. Current on-demand medians sit near $4.11–$4.50 across providers, with hyperscalers charging premiums and spot or neo-cloud listings often lower. Volatility from earlier 2026 declines and capacity constraints continues, but October resolution hinges on near-term Blackwell displacement versus persistent Hopper shortages. Trader sentiment reflects this balance, with limited catalysts expected in the next 10 weeks to decisively shift the range.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$4.00-$4.50 30%
$4.50-$5.00 28%
$3.50-$4.00 23%
<$3.50 13%
<$3.50
13%
$3.50-$4.00
23%
$4.00-$4.50
30%
$4.50-$5.00
28%
$5.00-$5.50
13%
$5.50+
9%
$4.00-$4.50 30%
$4.50-$5.00 28%
$3.50-$4.00 23%
<$3.50 13%
<$3.50
13%
$3.50-$4.00
23%
$4.00-$4.50
30%
$4.50-$5.00
28%
$5.00-$5.50
13%
$5.50+
9%
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 11, 2026, 7:34 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://dashboard.ornnai.com/computeResolver
0x69c47De9D...If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://dashboard.ornnai.com/computeResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent supply increases for NVIDIA H200 GPUs, combined with ramping Blackwell B200 availability, have introduced competitive pressure on rental rates, while strong AI training and inference demand—especially for memory-intensive workloads—supports the tight clustering around $4.00–$5.00 per hour. Current on-demand medians sit near $4.11–$4.50 across providers, with hyperscalers charging premiums and spot or neo-cloud listings often lower. Volatility from earlier 2026 declines and capacity constraints continues, but October resolution hinges on near-term Blackwell displacement versus persistent Hopper shortages. Trader sentiment reflects this balance, with limited catalysts expected in the next 10 weeks to decisively shift the range.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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