Strong trader consensus around the $2.50–$3.00 range for end-of-October 2026 H100 rental rates reflects persistent AI training and inference demand balanced against gradual Blackwell B200/B300 availability and expanded neocloud supply. Recent indices show accessible on-demand and marketplace rates clustered near $2.19–$2.95 per GPU-hour as of mid-August, with hyperscaler tiers remaining far higher due to committed capacity and ecosystem premiums. Sustained enterprise workloads, HBM memory constraints, and forward-booked data-center builds through late 2026 have limited downside pressure, while growing adoption of newer GPUs exerts only modest substitution effects on the established H100 installed base. Key swing factors include any acceleration in Blackwell deployments or unexpected demand spikes that could shift outcomes toward the higher bins or stabilize nearer current levels.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$2.50-$2.75 31%
$2.75-$3.00 29%
$2.25-$2.50 25%
$3.00+ 12%
<$2.00
5%
$2.00-$2.25
2%
$2.25-$2.50
25%
$2.50-$2.75
31%
$2.75-$3.00
29%
$3.00+
12%
$2.50-$2.75 31%
$2.75-$3.00 29%
$2.25-$2.50 25%
$3.00+ 12%
<$2.00
5%
$2.00-$2.25
2%
$2.25-$2.50
25%
$2.50-$2.75
31%
$2.75-$3.00
29%
$3.00+
12%
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H100 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 11, 2026, 7:35 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://dashboard.ornnai.com/computeResolver
0x69c47De9D...If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H100 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://dashboard.ornnai.com/computeResolver
0x69c47De9D...Strong trader consensus around the $2.50–$3.00 range for end-of-October 2026 H100 rental rates reflects persistent AI training and inference demand balanced against gradual Blackwell B200/B300 availability and expanded neocloud supply. Recent indices show accessible on-demand and marketplace rates clustered near $2.19–$2.95 per GPU-hour as of mid-August, with hyperscaler tiers remaining far higher due to committed capacity and ecosystem premiums. Sustained enterprise workloads, HBM memory constraints, and forward-booked data-center builds through late 2026 have limited downside pressure, while growing adoption of newer GPUs exerts only modest substitution effects on the established H100 installed base. Key swing factors include any acceleration in Blackwell deployments or unexpected demand spikes that could shift outcomes toward the higher bins or stabilize nearer current levels.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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